Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Tournament scorers · Bosnia and Herzegovina

Snapshot · 2026-05-29

Bosnia and Herzegovina — P(scores ≥1 goal)

Every player in Bosnia and Herzegovina's current call-up pool, ranked by the model's probability that they score at least one goal across the matches Bosnia and Herzegovina plays at the 2026 World Cup. See /scorers/ for the global top 50 and /countries/bih/ for the predicted squad and probable XI.

46 players in the pool

Rank1Ermedin DemirovićPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)22.8%
Rank2Ermin BičakčićPKPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)15.3%
Rank3Edin DžekoPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)15.0%
Rank4Riad BajićPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)11.4%
Rank5Samed BaždarPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)9.1%
Rank6Haris TabakovićPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)8.2%
Rank7Luka KulenovićPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)5.7%
Rank8Jovo LukićPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)5.1%
Rank9Enver KulašinPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)4.9%
Rank10Amer GojakPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)2.8%
Rank11Benjamin TahirovićPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)2.2%
Rank12Armin GigovićPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)2.1%
Rank13Dženis BurnićPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)2.1%
Rank14Esmir BajraktarevićPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)1.8%
Rank15Ivan BašićPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)1.8%
Rank16Amar MemićPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)1.6%
Rank17Haris HajradinovićPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)1.4%
Rank18Kerim AlajbegovićPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)1.4%
Rank19Dino BeširovićPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)1.3%
Rank20Ifet ĐakovacPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank21Luka MenaloPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank22Amir HadžiahmetovićPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank23Dario ŠarićPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank24Ermin MahmićPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank25Denis HuseinbašićPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank26Ivan ŠunjićPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank27Amar DedićPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank28Tarik MuharemovićPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank29Jusuf GazibegovićPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank30Nihad MujakićPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank31Arjan MalićPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank32Dennis HadžikadunićPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank33Nail OmerovićPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank34Sead KolašinacPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank35Stjepan RadeljićPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank36Eman KošpoPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank37Emir KarićPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank38Adrian Leon BarišićPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank39Nidal ČelikPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank40Nikola KatićPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank41Martin ZlomislićPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank42Mladen JurkasPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank43Nikola VasiljPosGKFormSteadyTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank44Osman HadžikićPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank45Tarik KarićPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank46Vedad MuftićPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
▸How to read this table— 4 columns explained
Pos
Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form
Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook
Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1)
Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.

Full definitions in the glossary.

How this is computed. v0 of the per-player tournament-scorer model. npxG/90 from each player's most recent ≥500-minute Big-5 season; E[minutes] is a two-state mixture of starter (75 min) and substitute (20 min) weighted by caps relative to the team's last-2-year fixture count; team_xG_share is position-weighted within a notional 4-3-3 (FW 4× / MF 2× / DF 1× / GK 0); opp_def_factor is the team-average xG-against multiplier across the other 47 WC nations; E[matches] is the team's expected number of WC matches from the bracket Monte Carlo. Known v0 simplifications: no penalty-taker designation, no set-piece-taker bonus, no fatigue / rotation, constant within-position xG share. See /docs/methodology/ for the full write-up.