Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Tournament scorers · Austria

Snapshot · 2026-05-29

Austria — P(scores ≥1 goal)

Every player in Austria's current call-up pool, ranked by the model's probability that they score at least one goal across the matches Austria plays at the 2026 World Cup. See /scorers/ for the global top 50 and /countries/aut/ for the predicted squad and probable XI.

42 players in the pool

Rank1Marcel SabitzerPKPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)24.3%
Rank2Marko ArnautovićPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)15.1%
Rank3Michael GregoritschPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)10.3%
Rank4Andreas WeimannPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)5.1%
Rank5Saša KalajdžićPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)5.0%
Rank6Christoph BaumgartnerPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)4.7%
Rank7Raul FloruczPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)4.5%
Rank8Nikolaus WurmbrandPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)4.3%
Rank9Patrick WimmerPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)3.6%
Rank10Mathias HonsakPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)3.1%
Rank11Romano SchmidPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)2.5%
Rank12Marco GrüllPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)2.2%
Rank13Konrad LaimerPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)2.1%
Rank14Paul WannerPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank15Florian GrillitschPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank16Alessandro SchöpfPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank17Carney ChukwuemekaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank18Thierno BalloPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank19Xaver SchlagerPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank20David AlabaPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank21Alexander PrassPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank22Maximilian WöberPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank23Nicolas SeiwaldPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank24Kevin DansoPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank25Stefan PoschPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank26Leopold QuerfeldPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank27Max WöberPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank28Gernot TraunerPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank29Philipp LienhartPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank30Phillipp MwenePosDFFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank31David AffengruberPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank32Samson BaidooPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank33Nikolas VeratschnigPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank34Michael SvobodaPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank35Marco FriedlPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank36Alexander SchlagerPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank37Florian WiegelePosGKFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank38Nicolas KristofPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank39Nicolas SchmidPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank40Nikolas PolsterPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank41Patrick PentzPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank42Tobias LawalPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.1 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
How to read this table4 columns explained
Pos
Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form
Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook
Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1)
Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.

Full definitions in the glossary.

How this is computed. v0 of the per-player tournament-scorer model. npxG/90 from each player's most recent ≥500-minute Big-5 season; E[minutes] is a two-state mixture of starter (75 min) and substitute (20 min) weighted by caps relative to the team's last-2-year fixture count; team_xG_share is position-weighted within a notional 4-3-3 (FW 4× / MF 2× / DF 1× / GK 0); opp_def_factor is the team-average xG-against multiplier across the other 47 WC nations; E[matches] is the team's expected number of WC matches from the bracket Monte Carlo. Known v0 simplifications: no penalty-taker designation, no set-piece-taker bonus, no fatigue / rotation, constant within-position xG share. See /docs/methodology/ for the full write-up.