Tournament scorers · Austria

Snapshot · 2026-06-23Model 1.0.0

AustriaP(scores ≥1 goal)

Every player in Austria's current call-up pool, ranked by the model's probability that they score at least one goal across the matches Austria plays at the 2026 World Cup. See /scorers/ for the global top 50 and /countries/aut/ for the predicted squad and probable XI.

42 players in the pool

Rank1Marcel SabitzerPKPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)24.7%
Rank2Marko ArnautovićPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)15.8%
Rank3Michael GregoritschPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)15.7%
Rank4Christoph BaumgartnerPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)8.8%
Rank5Andreas WeimannPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)5.3%
Rank6Saša KalajdžićPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)5.3%
Rank7Raul FloruczPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)4.8%
Rank8Nikolaus WurmbrandPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)4.5%
Rank9Mathias HonsakPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)3.7%
Rank10Romano SchmidPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)3.0%
Rank11Patrick WimmerPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)2.9%
Rank12Konrad LaimerPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.9%
Rank13Carney ChukwuemekaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.7%
Rank14Marco GrüllPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.7%
Rank15Nicolas SeiwaldPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.3%
Rank16Paul WannerPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.2%
Rank17Xaver SchlagerPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.2%
Rank18Florian GrillitschPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank19Alessandro SchöpfPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank20Alexander PrassPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank21Thierno BalloPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank22Stefan PoschPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank23David AlabaPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank24Philipp LienhartPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank25Maximilian WöberPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank26Kevin DansoPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank27Samson BaidooPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank28Leopold QuerfeldPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank29Max WöberPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank30Gernot TraunerPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank31Phillipp MwenePosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank32David AffengruberPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank33Nikolas VeratschnigPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank34Marco FriedlPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank35Michael SvobodaPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank36Alexander SchlagerPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank37Florian WiegelePosGKFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank38Nicolas KristofPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank39Nicolas SchmidPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank40Nikolas PolsterPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank41Patrick PentzPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank42Tobias LawalPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
How to read this table4 columns explained
Pos
Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form
Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook
Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1)
Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.

How this is computed. v0 of the per-player tournament-scorer model. npxG/90 from each player's most recent ≥500-minute Big-5 season; E[minutes] is a two-state mixture of starter (75 min) and substitute (20 min) weighted by caps relative to the team's last-2-year fixture count; team_xG_share is position-weighted within a notional 4-3-3 (FW 4× / MF 2× / DF 1× / GK 0); opp_def_factor is the team-average xG-against multiplier across the other 47 WC nations; E[matches] is the team's expected number of WC matches from the bracket Monte Carlo. Known v0 simplifications: no penalty-taker designation, no set-piece-taker bonus, no fatigue / rotation, constant within-position xG share. See /docs/methodology/ for the full write-up.