Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

England vs Croatia

2026 FIFA World Cup·Group L·Head-to-head

Snapshot · 2026-05-28

All-time head-to-head

Meetings
11
England W-D-L
6-2-3
Last meeting
2021Win (10)

All-time record from England's perspective. Counts every senior international meeting (friendlies and tournaments) in the martj42 dataset; penalty-shootout outcomes resolve knockout draws.

Model forecast

50.3%
Draw
26.4%
23.2%

The model's win, draw and win probabilities for this group-stage meeting. Full forecast — expected goals, scoreline distribution, and per-player scoring →

Frequently asked

What is the head-to-head record between England and Croatia?
England and Croatia have met 11 times. From England's perspective the all-time record is 6 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses. Their most recent meeting was a 2021 win (1–0) at the UEFA Euro.
What does the model predict for England vs Croatia?
OnThePitch's model rates England at 50% to win, with a 26% chance of a draw and 23% for Croatia.
When do England and Croatia play at the 2026 World Cup?
They meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup in Group L. Venue and kick-off details appear on the match page once confirmed.

Other Group L matchups

How this is computed. Win/draw/ win probabilities come from a calibrated Dixon-Coles ensemble. See methodology.