Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

England vs Panama

2026 FIFA World Cup·Group L·Head-to-head

Snapshot · 2026-05-28

All-time head-to-head

Meetings
1
England W-D-L
1-0-0
Last meeting
2018Win (61)

All-time record from England's perspective. Counts every senior international meeting (friendlies and tournaments) in the martj42 dataset; penalty-shootout outcomes resolve knockout draws.

Model forecast

75.1%
Draw
18.2%
6.6%

The model's win, draw and win probabilities for this group-stage meeting. Full forecast — expected goals, scoreline distribution, and per-player scoring →

Frequently asked

What is the head-to-head record between England and Panama?
England and Panama have met 1 time. From England's perspective the all-time record is 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses. Their most recent meeting was a 2018 win (6–1) at the FIFA World Cup.
What does the model predict for England vs Panama?
OnThePitch's model rates England at 75% to win, with a 18% chance of a draw and 7% for Panama.
When do England and Panama play at the 2026 World Cup?
They meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup in Group L. Venue and kick-off details appear on the match page once confirmed.

Other Group L matchups

How this is computed. Win/draw/ win probabilities come from a calibrated Dixon-Coles ensemble. See methodology.