Mesuré en public

4 Jul 2026

Chaque probabilité ci-dessous a été publiée avant le coup d'envoi et verrouillée. Cette page note chacune d'elles par rapport à ce qui s'est réellement passé.

1 sur 3 matchs notés
0
Dans le mille
Forte confiance, bon résultat
1
Bonne lecture
A donné le plus de probabilité à ce qui s'est passé
0
Attendu
Le résultat était dans la fourchette
0
Surprise
Le modèle ne l'avait pas vu venir

Moyenne du jour : Strong read

  • ParaguayvsFrance
    Notation
    Coup de sifflet final passé ; notation imminente
  • CanadavsMorocco
    Notation
    Coup de sifflet final passé ; notation imminente
  • ColombiavsGhana
    NotésVerrouillé 28 Jun
    1 – 0
    • Colombia · réalisé62.5%
    • Match nul27.1%
    • Ghana10.3%
    Verdict
    Strong read

    Colombia 1–0 Ghana was the outcome the model rated most likely (62.5% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.225, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Colombia
    8Luis SuarezSTShowcased excellent skill and delivered a precise assist for the match-winning goal, demonstrating his creative influence.
    7Luis DiazLWA dynamic attacking presence who consistently created chances but was let down by his finishing on two key opportunities.
    7MejiaAMCreated a significant scoring opportunity with a well-struck shot that required a top-class save from the opposition goalkeeper.
    Ghana
    9Ati-ZigiGKGhana's standout performer, making multiple heroic saves that kept the scoreline respectable and prevented a larger defeat.
    5ParteyCMHad an early attempt on goal but his overall impact on the match was limited to this single offensive action.
    5SemenyoSTShowed individual initiative by driving into the box but failed to connect with a teammate for a meaningful chance.

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Model report card — 4 Jul 2026 · onthepitch