Misurato in pubblico
4 Jul 2026
Ogni probabilità qui sotto è stata pubblicata prima del calcio d'inizio e bloccata. Questa pagina valuta ciascuna in base a ciò che è realmente accaduto.
1 di 3 partite valutate
0
Centrata in pieno
Alta fiducia, risultato giusto
1
Lettura forte
Ha dato più probabilità a ciò che è accaduto
0
Previsto
Il risultato rientrava nella gamma
0
Sorpresa
Il modello non se lo aspettava
Media del giorno: Strong read
- 1 – 0
- Colombia · realizzato62.5%
- Pareggio27.1%
- Ghana10.3%
VerdettoStrong readColombia 1–0 Ghana was the outcome the model rated most likely (62.5% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.225, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.
Match ratings
Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.
Colombia8Luis SuarezSTShowcased excellent skill and delivered a precise assist for the match-winning goal, demonstrating his creative influence.7Luis DiazLWA dynamic attacking presence who consistently created chances but was let down by his finishing on two key opportunities.7MejiaAMCreated a significant scoring opportunity with a well-struck shot that required a top-class save from the opposition goalkeeper.Ghana9Ati-ZigiGKGhana's standout performer, making multiple heroic saves that kept the scoreline respectable and prevented a larger defeat.5ParteyCMHad an early attempt on goal but his overall impact on the match was limited to this single offensive action.5SemenyoSTShowed individual initiative by driving into the box but failed to connect with a teammate for a meaningful chance.
See how the forecast holds up
OnThePitch grades every probability against what actually happens, and publishes the calibration in the open. Subscribe to follow the retrospectives and research as they ship — one email per post, no marketing.
Already read on Substack? Follow OnThePitch there — same posts, slightly different format.