Herkesin gözü önünde ölçüldü

4 Jul 2026

Aşağıdaki her olasılık başlama vuruşundan önce yayınlandı ve kilitlendi. Bu sayfa her birini gerçekte ne olduğuna göre puanlar.

3 maçtan 1 tanesi puanlandı
0
Tam isabet
Yüksek güven, doğru sonuç
1
Güçlü okuma
Gerçekleşene en yüksek olasılığı verdi
0
Beklenen
Sonuç aralık içindeydi
0
Sürpriz
Model bunu öngöremedi

Gün ortalaması: Strong read

  • ParaguayvsFrance
    Puanlama
    Bitiş düdüğü çaldı; kısa süre içinde puanlanacak
  • CanadavsMorocco
    Puanlama
    Bitiş düdüğü çaldı; kısa süre içinde puanlanacak
  • ColombiavsGhana
    Puanlandı28 Jun tarihinde kilitlendi
    1 – 0
    • Colombia · gerçekleşti62.5%
    • Beraberlik27.1%
    • Ghana10.3%
    Karar
    Strong read

    Colombia 1–0 Ghana was the outcome the model rated most likely (62.5% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.225, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Colombia
    8Luis SuarezSTShowcased excellent skill and delivered a precise assist for the match-winning goal, demonstrating his creative influence.
    7Luis DiazLWA dynamic attacking presence who consistently created chances but was let down by his finishing on two key opportunities.
    7MejiaAMCreated a significant scoring opportunity with a well-struck shot that required a top-class save from the opposition goalkeeper.
    Ghana
    9Ati-ZigiGKGhana's standout performer, making multiple heroic saves that kept the scoreline respectable and prevented a larger defeat.
    5ParteyCMHad an early attempt on goal but his overall impact on the match was limited to this single offensive action.
    5SemenyoSTShowed individual initiative by driving into the box but failed to connect with a teammate for a meaningful chance.

See how the forecast holds up

OnThePitch grades every probability against what actually happens, and publishes the calibration in the open. Subscribe to follow the retrospectives and research as they ship — one email per post, no marketing.

Already read on Substack? Follow OnThePitch there — same posts, slightly different format.

Model report card — 4 Jul 2026 · onthepitch