Medido en público

6 Jul 2026

Cada probabilidad de abajo se publicó antes del inicio y quedó fijada. Esta página califica cada una frente a lo que realmente ocurrió.

2 de 2 partidos calificados
0
Clavado
Alta confianza, resultado correcto
1
Buena lectura
Dio la mayor probabilidad a lo que ocurrió
1
Esperado
El resultado estuvo dentro del rango
0
Sorpresa
El modelo no vio venir esto

Promedio del día: Strong read

  • PortugalvsSpain
    CalificadoFijado 5 Jul
    0 – 1
    • Portugal29.5%
    • Empate28.1%
    • Spain · ocurrido42.4%
    Veredicto
    Within expectations

    Portugal 0–1 Spain was the outcome the model rated most likely (42.4% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.497, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

  • United StatesvsBelgium
    CalificadoFijado 5 Jul
    1 – 4
    • United States24.1%
    • Empate26.7%
    • Belgium · ocurrido49.1%
    Veredicto
    Strong read

    United States 1–4 Belgium was the outcome the model rated most likely (49.1% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.388, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

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Model report card — 6 Jul 2026 · onthepitch