Medido en público

7 Jul 2026

Cada probabilidad de abajo se publicó antes del inicio y quedó fijada. Esta página califica cada una frente a lo que realmente ocurrió.

2 de 2 partidos calificados
0
Clavado
Alta confianza, resultado correcto
1
Buena lectura
Dio la mayor probabilidad a lo que ocurrió
1
Esperado
El resultado estuvo dentro del rango
0
Sorpresa
El modelo no vio venir esto

Promedio del día: Within expectations

  • ArgentinavsEgypt
    CalificadoFijado 5 Jul
    3 – 2
    • Argentina · ocurrido57.9%
    • Empate30.4%
    • Egypt11.6%
    Veredicto
    Strong read

    Argentina 3–2 Egypt was the outcome the model rated most likely (57.9% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.283, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

  • SwitzerlandvsColombia
    CalificadoFijado 5 Jul
    0 – 0
    • Switzerland25.3%
    • Empate · ocurrido28.0%
    • Colombia46.7%
    Veredicto
    Within expectations

    Switzerland 0–0 Colombia was an outcome the model rated at 28.0% (28.0% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.800, worse than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

See how the forecast holds up

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Model report card — 7 Jul 2026 · onthepitch