Herkesin gözü önünde ölçüldü
6 Jul 2026
Aşağıdaki her olasılık başlama vuruşundan önce yayınlandı ve kilitlendi. Bu sayfa her birini gerçekte ne olduğuna göre puanlar.
Gün ortalaması: Strong read
- 0 – 1
- Portugal29.5%
- Beraberlik28.1%
- Spain · gerçekleşti42.4%
KararWithin expectationsPortugal 0–1 Spain was the outcome the model rated most likely (42.4% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.497, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.
- Puanlandı5 Jul tarihinde kilitlendi1 – 4
- United States24.1%
- Beraberlik26.7%
- Belgium · gerçekleşti49.1%
KararStrong readUnited States 1–4 Belgium was the outcome the model rated most likely (49.1% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.388, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.
See how the forecast holds up
OnThePitch grades every probability against what actually happens, and publishes the calibration in the open. Subscribe to follow the retrospectives and research as they ship — one email per post, no marketing.
Already read on Substack? Follow OnThePitch there — same posts, slightly different format.