Home · Report card · 5 Jul 2026 ← 4 Jul 2026 6 Jul 2026 → 0 de 2 partidos calificados
Pitazo final; calificando en breve
Pitazo final; calificando en breve
See how the forecast holds up OnThePitch grades every probability against what actually happens, and publishes the calibration in the open. Subscribe to follow the retrospectives and research as they ship — one email per post, no marketing.
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Boletín completo del torneo → Ver pronósticos actualizados → Todos los partidos → onthepitch
Una plataforma de investigación para la Copa Mundial de la FIFA 2026.
Metodología
Forecasts come from a calibrated Ensemble of international Elo , Dixon-Coles , and a Hierarchical Poisson model. See /docs/methodology/ for the full write-up. Tap any abbreviation in a data table for its definition.
How the forecasts score against results (Brier , log-loss , and calibration across past tournaments) is on the calibration scoreboard .
Built 9 Jul 14:22 UTC · Day 29 of the tournament · Methodology
Análisis deportivo e investigación estadística. Los resultados del modelo son probabilidades, no recomendaciones. La calibración pasada no garantiza precisión futura. Este sitio no promueve ni facilita juegos de azar. Terms .