公开检验

6 Jul 2026

下方每个概率都在开赛前发布并锁定。本页面将每个概率与实际结果进行对比评分。

已评分 2/2 场
0
精准命中
高置信度,结果正确
1
判断有力
对实际结果赋予了最高概率
1
符合预期
结果在预测范围之内
0
意外
模型未能预见到这一点

当日均值: Strong read

  • 已评分锁定于 5 Jul
    01
    • Portugal29.5%
    • 平局28.1%
    • Spain · 实际42.4%
    结论
    Within expectations

    Portugal 0–1 Spain was the outcome the model rated most likely (42.4% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.497, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

  • 已评分锁定于 5 Jul
    14
    • United States24.1%
    • 平局26.7%
    • Belgium · 实际49.1%
    结论
    Strong read

    United States 1–4 Belgium was the outcome the model rated most likely (49.1% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.388, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

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Model report card — 6 Jul 2026 · onthepitch