Scotland — P(scores ≥1 goal)

Every player in Scotland's current call-up pool, ranked by the model's probability that they score at least one goal across the matches Scotland plays at the 2026 World Cup. See /scorers/ for the global top 50 and /countries/sco/ for the predicted squad and probable XI.

42 players in the pool

#PlayerFormTeam outlook

Rank1Ché AdamsPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)11.1%

Rank2Lyndon DykesPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)9.0%

Rank3George HirstPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)8.3%

Rank4Lawrence ShanklandPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)7.6%

Rank5Tommy ConwayPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)7.5%

Rank6Scott McTominayPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)7.2%

Rank7Ross StewartPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)4.8%

Rank8Kieron BowiePosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)4.5%

Rank9James WilsonPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)4.3%

Rank10Ryan ChristiePosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)4.0%

Rank11John McGinnPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)2.5%

Rank12Billy GilmourPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)2.0%

Rank13Kenny McLeanPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.6%

Rank14Ben Gannon-DoakPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.4%

Rank15Lennon MillerPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%

Rank16Lewis FergusonPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%

Rank17Andy IrvingPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%

Rank18Connor BarronPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%

Rank19Findlay CurtisPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%

Rank20Josh MulliganPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%

Rank21Jack HendryPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%

Rank22Andy RobertsonPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%

Rank23Grant HanleyPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%

Rank24Anthony RalstonPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank25John SouttarPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank26Aaron HickeyPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank27Scott McKennaPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank28Max JohnstonPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank29Dominic HyamPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank30Ross McCroriePosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank31Nathan PattersonPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank32Josh DoigPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%

Rank33Kieran TierneyPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%

Rank34Angus GunnPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank35Callan McKennaPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank36Cieran SlickerPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank37Craig GordonPosGKFormSteadyTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank38Liam KellyPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank39Robby McCroriePosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank40Ross DoohanPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank41Scott BainPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank42Zander ClarkPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

▸How to read this table— 4 columns explained

Pos: Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form: Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook: Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1): Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.