Croatia — P(scores ≥1 goal)

Every player in Croatia's current call-up pool, ranked by the model's probability that they score at least one goal across the matches Croatia plays at the 2026 World Cup. See /scorers/ for the global top 50 and /countries/cro/ for the predicted squad and probable XI.

37 players in the pool

#PlayerFormTeam outlook

Rank1Ante BudimirPKPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)37.9%

Rank2Andrej KramarićPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)19.2%

Rank3Igor MatanovićPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)13.4%

Rank4Petar MusaPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)11.7%

Rank5Marco PašalićPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)10.3%

Rank6Franjo IvanovićPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)9.5%

Rank7Dion Drena BeljoPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)7.0%

Rank8Mislav OršićPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)6.0%

Rank9Ivan PerišićPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)5.4%

Rank10Mario PašalićPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)3.9%

Rank11Lovro MajerPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)3.8%

Rank12Luka SučićPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)3.8%

Rank13Mateo KovačićPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)2.3%

Rank14Martin BaturinaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)2.1%

Rank15Petar SučićPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)2.1%

Rank16Nikola VlašićPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)1.9%

Rank17Kristijan JakićPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)1.7%

Rank18Luka ModrićPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)1.5%

Rank19Toni FrukPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)1.5%

Rank20Joško GvardiolPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)1.3%

Rank21Nikola MoroPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)1.3%

Rank22Luka StojkovićPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%

Rank23Luka VuškovićPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%

Rank24Duje Ćaleta-CarPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%

Rank25Josip ŠutaloPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%

Rank26Josip StanišićPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank27Ivan SmolčićPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank28Josip JuranovićPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank29Domagoj BradarićPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank30Marin PongračićPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank31Martin ErlićPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank32Borna SosaPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank33Dominik KotarskiPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank34Dominik LivakovićPosGKFormRisingTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank35Ivica IvušićPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank36Ivor PandurPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank37Karlo LeticaPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

▸How to read this table— 4 columns explained

Pos: Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form: Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook: Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1): Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.