Tournament scorers · Cape Verde

Snapshot · 2026-06-23Model 1.0.0

Cape VerdeP(scores ≥1 goal)

Every player in Cape Verde's current call-up pool, ranked by the model's probability that they score at least one goal across the matches Cape Verde plays at the 2026 World Cup. See /scorers/ for the global top 50 and /countries/cpv/ for the predicted squad and probable XI.

54 players in the pool

Rank1Nuno da CostaPKPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)18.2%
Rank2Dailon LivramentoPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)14.6%
Rank3Ryan MendesPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)14.6%
Rank4Willy SemedoPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)14.6%
Rank5Jovane CabralPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)14.6%
Rank6BenchimolPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)14.2%
Rank7Hélio VarelaPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)13.3%
Rank8Garry RodriguesPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)11.3%
Rank9DukPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)7.1%
Rank10Heriberto TavaresPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)7.1%
Rank11Alessio da CruzPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)6.6%
Rank12Bryan TeixeiraPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)5.6%
Rank13Alvin FortesPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)5.1%
Rank14Rúben PinaPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)5.1%
Rank15Fabio DomingosPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)4.7%
Rank16Ieltsin CamõesPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)4.7%
Rank17Deroy DuartePosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)2.6%
Rank18Jamiro MonteiroPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)2.6%
Rank19Kevin PinaPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)2.6%
Rank20Telmo ArcanjoPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.9%
Rank21Laros DuartePosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.8%
Rank22Yannick SemedoPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.6%
Rank23Fabrício GarciaPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.2%
Rank24Aílson TavaresPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank25Elson MendesPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank26Jordan SemedoPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank27Stéphane CueniPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank28Ayoni SantosPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank29David CostaPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank30Ilano Silva TimasPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank31Jordan MendesPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank32Sidnei TavaresPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank33DineyPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank34João PauloPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank35PicoPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank36Wagner PinaPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank37Logan CostaPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank38Sidny Lopes CabralPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank39Steven MoreiraPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank40JójóPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank41Kelvin PiresPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank42Kristopher Da GracaPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank43StopiraPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank44Ricardo SantosPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank45David MoreiraPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank46Bruno AlmeidaPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank47Jorginho SoaresPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank48Rivaldo MoraisPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank49Yuran FernandesPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank50Bruno VarelaPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank51CJ dos SantosPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank52Henrique TavaresPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank53Márcio RosaPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank54VozinhaPosGKFormRisingTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
How to read this table4 columns explained
Pos
Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form
Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook
Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1)
Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.

How this is computed. v0 of the per-player tournament-scorer model. npxG/90 from each player's most recent ≥500-minute Big-5 season; E[minutes] is a two-state mixture of starter (75 min) and substitute (20 min) weighted by caps relative to the team's last-2-year fixture count; team_xG_share is position-weighted within a notional 4-3-3 (FW 4× / MF 2× / DF 1× / GK 0); opp_def_factor is the team-average xG-against multiplier across the other 47 WC nations; E[matches] is the team's expected number of WC matches from the bracket Monte Carlo. Known v0 simplifications: no penalty-taker designation, no set-piece-taker bonus, no fatigue / rotation, constant within-position xG share. See /docs/methodology/ for the full write-up.