Öffentlich gemessen

16 Jun 2026

Jede Wahrscheinlichkeit unten wurde vor dem Anpfiff veröffentlicht und festgelegt. Diese Seite bewertet jede einzelne anhand dessen, was tatsächlich passiert ist.

4 von 4 Spielen bewertet
3
Voll getroffen
Hohe Sicherheit, richtiges Ergebnis
1
Starke Einschätzung
Gab dem Eintretenden die höchste Wahrscheinlichkeit
0
Erwartet
Das Ergebnis lag im erwarteten Bereich
0
Überraschung
Das Modell hat dies nicht kommen sehen

Tagesdurchschnitt: Nailed it

  • BewertetFestgelegt am 10 Jun
    31
    • France · eingetreten57.4%
    • Unentschieden25.6%
    • Senegal16.9%
    Urteil
    Strong read

    France 3–1 Senegal was the outcome the model rated most likely (57.4% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.276, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Die Märkte gaben dem Ergebnis mehr Wahrscheinlichkeit

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    France
    9Kylian MbappéSTScored two decisive goals and was a constant, clinical threat in attack, leading his team to victory.
    8Bradley BarcolaLWCame off the bench to score a crucial goal with a composed finish, extending France's lead.
    7Mike MaignanGKMade crucial saves at key moments, maintaining his team's lead.
    Senegal
    8Édouard MendyGKMade numerous crucial saves, preventing France from scoring more goals and keeping Senegal in contention.
    7Ibrahim MbayeSTScored a late consolation goal, showing good footwork and a composed finish.
    6El Hadji Malick DioufSTHad an early shot on target, showing attacking intent.
  • BewertetFestgelegt am 10 Jun
    14
    • Iraq9.1%
    • Unentschieden23.1%
    • Norway · eingetreten67.7%
    Urteil
    Nailed it

    Iraq 1–4 Norway was the outcome the model rated most likely (67.7% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.166, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Die Märkte gaben dem Ergebnis mehr Wahrscheinlichkeit

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Iraq
    6Unnamed Player #18STShowcased attacking intent but lacked decisive contributions to the scoreline.
    6Unnamed Player #15CMDisplayed emotion and intensity but without specific impactful actions in the match.
    Norway
    9Erling HaalandSTScored two crucial goals, leading Norway's attack and securing a dominant victory.
  • BewertetFestgelegt am 10 Jun
    30
    • Argentina · eingetreten69.6%
    • Unentschieden22.3%
    • Algeria8.1%
    Urteil
    Nailed it

    Argentina 3–0 Algeria was the outcome the model rated most likely (69.6% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.149, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Die Märkte gaben dem Ergebnis mehr Wahrscheinlichkeit

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Argentina
    6Lautaro MartinezSTRegistered one shot on target that was saved, but otherwise had limited impact on the match events.
    6Julian AlvarezSTEntered the game as a substitute but had no specific actions mentioned in the match notes.
    6Nicolas GonzalezLWEntered the game as a substitute but had no specific actions mentioned in the match notes.
    Algeria
    7Luca ZidaneGKMade multiple crucial saves against Messi and Martinez, preventing Algeria from conceding more goals.
    6Fares ChaibiSTScored a goal that was subsequently disallowed due to a foul, limiting his overall positive impact.
    4Rafik BelghaliReceived a yellow card for a foul, which was his only notable action and a negative contribution.
  • BewertetFestgelegt am 10 Jun
    31
    • Austria · eingetreten64.0%
    • Unentschieden21.6%
    • Jordan14.4%
    Urteil
    Nailed it

    Austria 3–1 Jordan was the outcome the model rated most likely (64.0% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.196, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Die Märkte gaben dem Ergebnis mehr Wahrscheinlichkeit

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Austria
    5Austria Player #16Committed a foul in a dangerous area, which could have led to a scoring opportunity for the opponent.
    3Austria Player #19Displayed poor discipline throughout the match, committing multiple fouls and receiving a yellow card.
    Jordan
    7Jordan Player #10Showed attacking intent and individual skill, creating opportunities despite some execution errors.
    6Jordan Player #23Consistently drew fouls from the opposition, indicating a disruptive presence and ability to retain possession under pressure.

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Model report card — 16 Jun 2026 · onthepitch