Öffentlich gemessen

15 Jun 2026

Jede Wahrscheinlichkeit unten wurde vor dem Anpfiff veröffentlicht und festgelegt. Diese Seite bewertet jede einzelne anhand dessen, was tatsächlich passiert ist.

4 von 4 Spielen bewertet
0
Voll getroffen
Hohe Sicherheit, richtiges Ergebnis
0
Starke Einschätzung
Gab dem Eintretenden die höchste Wahrscheinlichkeit
2
Erwartet
Das Ergebnis lag im erwarteten Bereich
2
Überraschung
Das Modell hat dies nicht kommen sehen

Tagesdurchschnitt: Surprise result

  • BewertetFestgelegt am 10 Jun
    11
    • Belgium60.7%
    • Unentschieden · eingetreten24.3%
    • Egypt15.0%
    Urteil
    Within expectations

    Belgium 1–1 Egypt was an outcome the model rated at 24.3% (24.3% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.964, worse than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Schlägt die MärkteGab dem Ergebnis mehr Wahrscheinlichkeit

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Belgium
    8Thibaut CourtoisGKMade several important saves throughout the match, preventing Egypt from extending their lead.
    8Romelu LukakuSTMade an immediate and decisive impact by scoring the equalizing goal shortly after his introduction.
    7Youri TielemansCMWas a persistent offensive presence, registering multiple shots on target and actively trying to break down the defense.
    Egypt
    9Mostafa ShoubirGKDelivered an outstanding goalkeeping display, making numerous crucial saves to keep Egypt in the lead and secure the draw.
    8Emam AshourCMScored Egypt's opening goal with an impressive long-range strike, showcasing his offensive quality.
    6Mostafa ZicoLWContributed offensively with a shot on target and drew a yellow card for an opponent before being substituted.
  • BewertetFestgelegt am 10 Jun
    22
    • Iran63.0%
    • Unentschieden · eingetreten24.5%
    • New Zealand12.5%
    Urteil
    Within expectations

    Iran 2–2 New Zealand was an outcome the model rated at 24.5% (24.5% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.982, worse than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Die Märkte gaben dem Ergebnis mehr Wahrscheinlichkeit

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Iran
    8Ramin RezaeianRBScored a vital equalizer for Iran with a well-executed shot.
    8Mohammad MohebiLWScored the second equalizer for Iran with a crucial header, completing a comeback.
    8Alireza BeiranvandGKMade several crucial saves that prevented New Zealand from extending their lead or scoring more goals.
    New Zealand
    9Elijah JustRWScored two crucial goals, demonstrating clinical finishing and excellent positioning.
    7Max CrocombeGKMade vital saves for New Zealand, preventing Iran from scoring more than two goals.
    6Tim PayneCBPlayed for 77 minutes without any notable positive or negative contributions.
  • BewertetFestgelegt am 10 Jun
    00
    • Spain87.8%
    • Unentschieden · eingetreten10.5%
    • Cape Verde1.8%
    Urteil
    Tough call

    Spain 0–0 Cape Verde was an outcome the model rated at 10.5% (10.5% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 1.572, worse than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Schlägt die MärkteGab dem Ergebnis mehr Wahrscheinlichkeit

    Read: what the model missed →

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Spain
    7Marc CucurellaLBWas a constant threat down the left flank, delivering crosses and taking a shot on goal.
    7Aymeric LaporteCBWas a threat from set-pieces and long-range, and maintained defensive solidity.
    6Ferran TorresRWCreated several scoring opportunities and hit the woodwork but failed to convert any chances.
    Cape Verde
    9VozinhaGKHis exceptional goalkeeping performance was the primary reason Cape Verde secured a draw, making numerous crucial saves.
    8PicoCBMade a critical defensive intervention to prevent a late goal, showcasing strong defensive awareness.
    7Diney BorgesCBContributed to a strong defensive effort and had a late attacking opportunity.
  • BewertetFestgelegt am 10 Jun
    11
    • Saudi Arabia7.2%
    • Unentschieden · eingetreten23.4%
    • Uruguay69.3%
    Urteil
    Surprise result

    Saudi Arabia 1–1 Uruguay was an outcome the model rated at 23.4% (23.4% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 1.073, worse than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Schlägt die MärkteGab dem Ergebnis mehr Wahrscheinlichkeit

    Read: what the model missed →

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Saudi Arabia
    9Mohammed Al-OwaisGKDelivered an outstanding performance with multiple crucial saves, single-handedly securing a point for Saudi Arabia.
    7Abdulelah Al-AmriCBScored Saudi Arabia's only goal from a set piece but was also booked for a challenge.
    6Al-ShabatRegistered a shot on goal but had no further notable impact on the match.
    Uruguay
    8Maxi AraújoLWScored the crucial equalizer and was a persistent threat in attack for Uruguay.
    7Fernando MusleraGKMade a crucial save to prevent Saudi Arabia from scoring earlier in the first half.
    6Federico ValverdeCMContributed to Uruguay's attack with a late shot but also committed a foul.

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Model report card — 15 Jun 2026 · onthepitch