Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Group F · Matchday 1

SwedenvsTunisia

·20:00 local

Direktvergleich: Historie

DateCompetitionVenueScoreResultxG
12 Feb 2003FriendlyARadès01L
10 Feb 1999FriendlyATunis10W
22 Apr 1992FriendlyATunis10W
28 Feb 1976FriendlyATunis11D

Sweden vs Tunisia, every senior international meeting in the martj42 results dataset (score from Sweden's perspective; H/A/N = home/away/neutral).

Latest news & match context

Team news

No recent headlines for Sweden or Tunisia.

Match conditions
Stage:
Group F · Matchday 1

Both sides have potential absences, with one team facing a more impactful doubt. Unlock the full breakdown with a Pass.

Match-outcome probability

  • Sweden win
    42.4%
  • Draw
    28.1%
  • Tunisia win
    29.5%

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That's the headline. The full forecast goes deeper.

The same Dixon-Coles fit behind the probabilities above also produces the breakdowns below — for this match and all 104.

Scoreline distribution

Half-time / full-time

Four models compared

Most likely scorers

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See exactly how Sweden v Tunisia plays out

The most likely scorelines, half-time and full-time paths, all four models side by side, the timing of the first goal, and which players are most likely to score — for this match and every one of the 104.

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So wird das berechnet. Alle Torprozess-Ausgaben basieren auf einem gemeinsamen Dixon-Coles-Fit. Siehe Methodik.

Stand 2026-05-28