Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Group F · Matchday 1

SwedenvsTunisia

·20:00 local

Onderlinge geschiedenis

DateCompetitionVenueScoreResultxG
12 Feb 2003FriendlyARadès01L
10 Feb 1999FriendlyATunis10W
22 Apr 1992FriendlyATunis10W
28 Feb 1976FriendlyATunis11D

Sweden vs Tunisia, every senior international meeting in the martj42 results dataset (score from Sweden's perspective; H/A/N = home/away/neutral).

Latest news & match context

Team news

No recent headlines for Sweden or Tunisia.

Match conditions
Stage:
Group F · Matchday 1

Both sides have potential absences, with one team facing a more impactful doubt. Unlock the full breakdown with a Pass.

Match-outcome probability

  • Sweden win
    42.4%
  • Draw
    28.1%
  • Tunisia win
    29.5%

Standard Pass

That's the headline. The full forecast goes deeper.

The same Dixon-Coles fit behind the probabilities above also produces the breakdowns below — for this match and all 104.

Scoreline distribution

Half-time / full-time

Four models compared

Most likely scorers

Standard Pass

See exactly how Sweden v Tunisia plays out

The most likely scorelines, half-time and full-time paths, all four models side by side, the timing of the first goal, and which players are most likely to score — for this match and every one of the 104.

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Hoe dit wordt berekend. Alle doelpuntenprocessuitvoer deelt dezelfde Dixon-Coles-fit. Zie methodologie.

Stand per 2026-05-28