Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Group F · Matchday 1

NetherlandsvsJapan

·15:00 local

Direktvergleich: Historie

DateCompetitionVenueScoreResultxG
16 Nov 2013FriendlyNGenk22D
19 Jun 2010FIFA World CupNDurban10W
5 Sep 2009FriendlyHEnschede30W

Netherlands vs Japan, every senior international meeting in the martj42 results dataset (score from Netherlands's perspective; H/A/N = home/away/neutral).

Latest news & match context

Team news

No recent headlines for Netherlands or Japan.

Match conditions
Stage:
Group F · Matchday 1

Several players are doubtful across both squads, potentially influencing team selections and match dynamics. Unlock the full breakdown with a Pass.

Match-outcome probability

  • Netherlands win
    44.6%
  • Draw
    25.0%
  • Japan win
    30.3%

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That's the headline. The full forecast goes deeper.

The same Dixon-Coles fit behind the probabilities above also produces the breakdowns below — for this match and all 104.

Scoreline distribution

Half-time / full-time

Four models compared

Most likely scorers

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The most likely scorelines, half-time and full-time paths, all four models side by side, the timing of the first goal, and which players are most likely to score — for this match and every one of the 104.

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So wird das berechnet. Alle Torprozess-Ausgaben basieren auf einem gemeinsamen Dixon-Coles-Fit. Siehe Methodik.

Stand 2026-05-28