Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Tournament scorers · Switzerland

Snapshot · 2026-05-29

Switzerland — P(scores ≥1 goal)

Every player in Switzerland's current call-up pool, ranked by the model's probability that they score at least one goal across the matches Switzerland plays at the 2026 World Cup. See /scorers/ for the global top 50 and /countries/sui/ for the predicted squad and probable XI.

41 players in the pool

Rank1Ricardo RodriguezPKPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)30.2%
Rank2Breel EmboloPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)27.7%
Rank3Rubén VargasPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)17.4%
Rank4Zeki AmdouniPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)12.2%
Rank5Andi ZeqiriPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)10.1%
Rank6Noah OkaforPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)8.9%
Rank7Cedric IttenPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)7.8%
Rank8Dan NdoyePosFWFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)6.2%
Rank9Michel AebischerPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)3.2%
Rank10Vincent SierroPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)3.2%
Rank11Fabian RiederPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)3.1%
Rank12Denis ZakariaPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)2.7%
Rank13Djibril SowPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)2.1%
Rank14Johan ManzambiPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)2.0%
Rank15Simon SohmPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)1.9%
Rank16Joël MonteiroPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)1.7%
Rank17Granit XhakaPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)1.5%
Rank18Remo FreulerPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)1.5%
Rank19Ardon JashariPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)1.5%
Rank20Alvyn SanchesPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)1.4%
Rank21Christian FassnachtPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)1.3%
Rank22Silvan WidmerPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)1.2%
Rank23Filip UgrinićPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)1.2%
Rank24Manuel AkanjiPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank25Eray CömertPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank26Nico ElvediPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank27Ulisses GarciaPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank28Bećir OmeragićPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank29Miro MuheimPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank30Aurèle AmendaPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank31Isaac SchmidtPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank32Lucas BlondelPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank33Cédric ZesigerPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank34Luca JaquezPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank35Adrian BajramiPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank36Stefan GartenmannPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank37Zachary AthekamePosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank38Gregor KobelPosGKFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank39Marvin KellerPosGKFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank40Pascal LoretzPosGKFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank41Yvon MvogoPosGKFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
How to read this table4 columns explained
Pos
Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form
Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook
Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1)
Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.

Full definitions in the glossary.

How this is computed. v0 of the per-player tournament-scorer model. npxG/90 from each player's most recent ≥500-minute Big-5 season; E[minutes] is a two-state mixture of starter (75 min) and substitute (20 min) weighted by caps relative to the team's last-2-year fixture count; team_xG_share is position-weighted within a notional 4-3-3 (FW 4× / MF 2× / DF 1× / GK 0); opp_def_factor is the team-average xG-against multiplier across the other 47 WC nations; E[matches] is the team's expected number of WC matches from the bracket Monte Carlo. Known v0 simplifications: no penalty-taker designation, no set-piece-taker bonus, no fatigue / rotation, constant within-position xG share. See /docs/methodology/ for the full write-up.