Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Tournament scorers · South Africa

Snapshot · 2026-05-29

South Africa — P(scores ≥1 goal)

Every player in South Africa's current call-up pool, ranked by the model's probability that they score at least one goal across the matches South Africa plays at the 2026 World Cup. See /scorers/ for the global top 50 and /countries/rsa/ for the predicted squad and probable XI.

65 players in the pool

#PlayerPosFormTeam outlookP(scores ≥1)

Rank1Evidence MakgopaPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)12.3%

Rank2Oswin AppollisPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)12.3%

Rank3Thapelo MorenaPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)12.3%

Rank4Bongokuhle HlongwanePosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)10.8%

Rank5Lyle FosterPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)10.1%

Rank6Iqraam RaynersPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)8.5%

Rank7Elias MokwanaPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)7.8%

Rank8Mohau NkotaPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)7.0%

Rank9Tshepang MoremiPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)7.0%

Rank10Mihlali MayambelaPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)6.9%

Rank11Relebohile MofokengPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)6.9%

Rank12Thapelo MasekoPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)6.9%

Rank13Patrick MaswanganyiPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)5.4%

Rank14Kamogelo SebelebelePosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)4.2%

Rank15Yanela MbuthumaPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)3.8%

Rank16Ashley CupidoPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)3.4%

Rank17Keletso MakgalwaPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)3.4%

Rank18Puso DithejanePosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)3.4%

Rank19Shandre CampbellPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)3.4%

Rank20Teboho MokoenaPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)2.2%

Rank21Themba ZwanePosMFFormRisingTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)2.0%

Rank22Yaya SitholePosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)2.0%

Rank23Lebohang MaboePosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.8%

Rank24Bathusi AubaasPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.7%

Rank25Thalente MbathaPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.6%

Rank26Luke Le RouxPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.2%

Rank27Sipho MbulePosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%

Rank28Jayden AdamsPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%

Rank29Sinoxolo KwayibaPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%

Rank30Simphiwe SelepePosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%

Rank31Mduduzi ShabalalaPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%

Rank32Ndamulelo MaphangulePosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%

Rank33Brooklyn PoggenpoelPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%

Rank34Masindi NemtajelaPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%

Rank35Mthetheleli MthiyanePosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%

Rank36Siphesihle MkhizePosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%

Rank37Sphesihle MadunaPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%

Rank38Aubrey ModibaPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%

Rank39Nkosinathi SibisiPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%

Rank40Siyabonga NgezanaPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank41Mbekezeli MbokaziPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank42Ime OkonPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank43Nyiko MobbiePosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank44Khuliso MudauPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank45Khulumani NdamanePosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank46Samukele KabiniPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank47Fawaaz BasadienPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank48Malibongwe KhozaPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank49Deano van RooyenPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank50Thabang MatuludiPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank51Thabiso MonyanePosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank52Thabo MoloisanePosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank53Tylon SmithPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank54Zuko MdunyelwaPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank55Bradley CrossPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%

Rank56Fezile GcabaPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%

Rank57Keegan AllanPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%

Rank58Olwethu MakhanyaPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%

Rank59Vuyo LetlapaPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%

Rank60Brandon PetersenPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank61Darren JohnsonPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank62Renaldo LeanerPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank63Ricardo GossPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank64Ronwen WilliamsPosGKFormCoolingTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank65Sipho ChainePosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

▸How to read this table— 4 columns explained

Pos: Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form: Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook: Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1): Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.

Full definitions in the glossary.