New Zealand — P(scores ≥1 goal)

Every player in New Zealand's current call-up pool, ranked by the model's probability that they score at least one goal across the matches New Zealand plays at the 2026 World Cup. See /scorers/ for the global top 50 and /countries/nzl/ for the predicted squad and probable XI.

40 players in the pool

#PlayerFormTeam outlook

Rank1Chris WoodPKPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)37.3%

Rank2Ben WainePosFWFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)13.1%

Rank3Kosta BarbarousesPosFWFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)13.1%

Rank4Logan RogersonPosFWFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)11.1%

Rank5Andre de JongPosFWFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)9.1%

Rank6Jesse RandallPosFWFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)7.5%

Rank7Ben OldPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)4.7%

Rank8Luke Brooke-SmithPosFWFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)4.1%

Rank9Alex RuferPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)2.3%

Rank10Elijah JustPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)2.3%

Rank11Marko StamenićPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)2.3%

Rank12Matthew GarbettPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)2.3%

Rank13Ryan ThomasPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)2.3%

Rank14Sarpreet SinghPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)2.3%

Rank15Callum McCowattPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)2.2%

Rank16Liberato CacacePosDFFormRisingTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.5%

Rank17Joe BellPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%

Rank18Owen Parker-PricePosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%

Rank19Lachlan BaylissPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%

Rank20Bill TuilomaPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%

Rank21Nando PijnakerPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%

Rank22Tommy SmithPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%

Rank23Tyler BindonPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%

Rank24Francis de VriesPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%

Rank25Finn SurmanPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%

Rank26Michael BoxallPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank27Tim PaynePosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank28Storm RouxPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank29Callan ElliotPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank30James McGarryPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank31Lukas Kelly-HealdPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank32Dalton WilkinsPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank33George StangerPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank34Alex PaulsenPosGKFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank35Henry GrayPosGKFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank36Kees SimsPosGKFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank37Max CrocombePosGKFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank38Michael WoudPosGKFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank39Nik TzanevPosGKFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank40Oliver SailPosGKFormTeam outlookLong shot3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

▸How to read this table— 4 columns explained

Pos: Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form: Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook: Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1): Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.