Norway — P(scores ≥1 goal)

Every player in Norway's current call-up pool, ranked by the model's probability that they score at least one goal across the matches Norway plays at the 2026 World Cup. See /scorers/ for the global top 50 and /countries/nor/ for the predicted squad and probable XI.

44 players in the pool

#PlayerFormTeam outlook

Rank1Erling HaalandPKPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.6 mpP(scores ≥1)43.8%

Rank2Alexander SørlothPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.6 mpP(scores ≥1)19.4%

Rank3Erling Braut HaalandPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.6 mpP(scores ≥1)11.0%

Rank4Jørgen Strand LarsenPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.6 mpP(scores ≥1)6.3%

Rank5Aune HeggebøPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.6 mpP(scores ≥1)5.3%

Rank6Antonio NusaPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.6 mpP(scores ≥1)4.2%

Rank7Martin ØdegaardPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.6 mpP(scores ≥1)3.3%

Rank8Kristian ThorstvedtPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.6 mpP(scores ≥1)2.8%

Rank9Aron DønnumPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.6 mpP(scores ≥1)2.6%

Rank10Morten ThorsbyPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.6 mpP(scores ≥1)2.4%

Rank11Jens Petter HaugePosMFFormTeam outlookR164.6 mpP(scores ≥1)1.8%

Rank12Patrick BergPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.6 mpP(scores ≥1)1.8%

Rank13Oscar BobbPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.6 mpP(scores ≥1)1.5%

Rank14Andreas SchjelderupPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.6 mpP(scores ≥1)1.3%

Rank15Felix Horn MyhrePosMFFormTeam outlookR164.6 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%

Rank16Thelo AasgaardPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.6 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%

Rank17Lasse Berg JohnsenPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%

Rank18Sander BergePosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%

Rank19Fredrik AursnesPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%

Rank20Kristian ArnstadPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%

Rank21Sverre NypanPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%

Rank22Marcus Holmgren PedersenPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%

Rank23Fredrik André BjørkanPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%

Rank24Kristoffer Vassbakk AjerPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%

Rank25Leo ØstigårdPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%

Rank26Kristoffer AjerPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank27Julian RyersonPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank28Torbjørn HeggemPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank29Leo Skiri ØstigårdPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank30Andreas Hanche-OlsenPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank31Sebastian SebulonsenPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank32Jostein GundersenPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank33Sondre LangåsPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank34Colin RöslerPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank35Henrik FalchenerPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank36Odin BjørtuftPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank37Eivind HellandPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank38David Møller WolfePosDFFormTeam outlookR164.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank39Tobias GuddalPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank40Egil SelvikPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank41Mathias DyngelandPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank42Ørjan NylandPosGKFormRisingTeam outlookR164.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank43Sander TangvikPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank44Viljar MyhraPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

▸How to read this table— 4 columns explained

Pos: Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form: Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook: Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1): Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.