Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Tournament scorers · Norway

Snapshot · 2026-05-29

Norway — P(scores ≥1 goal)

Every player in Norway's current call-up pool, ranked by the model's probability that they score at least one goal across the matches Norway plays at the 2026 World Cup. See /scorers/ for the global top 50 and /countries/nor/ for the predicted squad and probable XI.

44 players in the pool

#PlayerPosFormTeam outlookP(scores ≥1)

Rank1Erling HaalandPKPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)45.1%

Rank2Alexander SørlothPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)34.4%

Rank3Erling Braut HaalandPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)14.5%

Rank4Jørgen Strand LarsenPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)11.7%

Rank5Aune HeggebøPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)5.2%

Rank6Martin ØdegaardPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)3.6%

Rank7Fredrik AursnesPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)2.6%

Rank8Antonio NusaPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)2.5%

Rank9Kristian ThorstvedtPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)2.3%

Rank10Aron DønnumPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)2.3%

Rank11Patrick BergPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)2.0%

Rank12Jens Petter HaugePosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.9%

Rank13Oscar BobbPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.6%

Rank14Morten ThorsbyPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.6%

Rank15Andreas SchjelderupPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.4%

Rank16Felix Horn MyhrePosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%

Rank17Thelo AasgaardPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%

Rank18Lasse Berg JohnsenPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%

Rank19Kristian ArnstadPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%

Rank20Sverre NypanPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%

Rank21Kristoffer Vassbakk AjerPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%

Rank22Leo ØstigårdPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%

Rank23Marcus Holmgren PedersenPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%

Rank24Fredrik André BjørkanPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%

Rank25Kristoffer AjerPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%

Rank26David Møller WolfePosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%

Rank27Julian RyersonPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%

Rank28Andreas Hanche-OlsenPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank29Torbjørn HeggemPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank30Leo Skiri ØstigårdPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank31Sander BergePosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank32Jostein GundersenPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank33Sondre LangåsPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank34Colin RöslerPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank35Henrik FalchenerPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank36Odin BjørtuftPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank37Eivind HellandPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank38Sebastian SebulonsenPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank39Tobias GuddalPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank40Egil SelvikPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank41Mathias DyngelandPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank42Ørjan NylandPosGKFormRisingTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank43Sander TangvikPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank44Viljar MyhraPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

▸How to read this table— 4 columns explained

Pos: Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form: Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook: Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1): Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.

Full definitions in the glossary.