Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Tournament scorers · Netherlands

Snapshot · 2026-05-29

Netherlands — P(scores ≥1 goal)

Every player in Netherlands's current call-up pool, ranked by the model's probability that they score at least one goal across the matches Netherlands plays at the 2026 World Cup. See /scorers/ for the global top 50 and /countries/ned/ for the predicted squad and probable XI.

41 players in the pool

#PlayerPosFormTeam outlookP(scores ≥1)

Rank1Donyell MalenPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)28.3%

Rank2Memphis DepayPKPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)22.7%

Rank3Cody GakpoPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)21.4%

Rank4Wout WeghorstPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)13.7%

Rank5Brian BrobbeyPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)10.0%

Rank6Noa LangPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)8.3%

Rank7Crysencio SummervillePosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)6.2%

Rank8Emmanuel EmeghaPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)6.2%

Rank9Mexx MeerdinkPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)6.2%

Rank10Justin KluivertPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)5.1%

Rank11Marten de RoonPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)3.9%

Rank12Teun KoopmeinersPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)3.4%

Rank13Denzel DumfriesPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)3.1%

Rank14Tijjani ReijndersPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)2.9%

Rank15Xavi SimonsPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)2.6%

Rank16Jeremie FrimpongPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)1.8%

Rank17Quinten TimberPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)1.8%

Rank18Guus TilPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)1.7%

Rank19Mats WiefferPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)1.5%

Rank20Luciano ValentePosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)1.2%

Rank21Kees SmitPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%

Rank22Sem SteijnPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%

Rank23Virgil van DijkPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%

Rank24Ryan GravenberchPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%

Rank25Frenkie de JongPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%

Rank26Stefan de VrijPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%

Rank27Matthijs de LigtPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%

Rank28Micky van de VenPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%

Rank29Lutsharel GeertruidaPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%

Rank30Jurriën TimberPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank31Nathan AkéPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank32Jorrel HatoPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank33Jan Paul van HeckePosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank34Quilindschy HartmanPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank35Jerdy SchoutenPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank36Bart VerbruggenPosGKFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank37Justin BijlowPosGKFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank38Kjell ScherpenPosGKFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank39Mark FlekkenPosGKFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank40Nick OlijPosGKFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank41Robin RoefsPosGKFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

▸How to read this table— 4 columns explained

Pos: Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form: Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook: Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1): Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.

Full definitions in the glossary.