Netherlands — P(scores ≥1 goal)

Every player in Netherlands's current call-up pool, ranked by the model's probability that they score at least one goal across the matches Netherlands plays at the 2026 World Cup. See /scorers/ for the global top 50 and /countries/ned/ for the predicted squad and probable XI.

41 players in the pool

#PlayerFormTeam outlook

Rank1Memphis DepayPKPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)45.8%

Rank2Donyell MalenPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)32.0%

Rank3Cody GakpoPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)18.5%

Rank4Wout WeghorstPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)13.4%

Rank5Brian BrobbeyPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)9.7%

Rank6Noa LangPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)8.2%

Rank7Tijjani ReijndersPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)7.5%

Rank8Justin KluivertPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)7.4%

Rank9Emmanuel EmeghaPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)6.1%

Rank10Mexx MeerdinkPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)6.1%

Rank11Crysencio SummervillePosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)5.2%

Rank12Denzel DumfriesPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)2.5%

Rank13Teun KoopmeinersPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)1.8%

Rank14Quinten TimberPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)1.8%

Rank15Xavi SimonsPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)1.7%

Rank16Virgil van DijkPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)1.6%

Rank17Ryan GravenberchPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)1.5%

Rank18Mats WiefferPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)1.4%

Rank19Guus TilPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)1.2%

Rank20Luciano ValentePosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)1.2%

Rank21Kees SmitPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%

Rank22Sem SteijnPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%

Rank23Nathan AkéPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%

Rank24Jurriën TimberPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%

Rank25Frenkie de JongPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%

Rank26Stefan de VrijPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%

Rank27Matthijs de LigtPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%

Rank28Jan Paul van HeckePosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%

Rank29Jeremie FrimpongPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%

Rank30Micky van de VenPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%

Rank31Marten de RoonPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%

Rank32Lutsharel GeertruidaPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%

Rank33Jerdy SchoutenPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank34Jorrel HatoPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank35Quilindschy HartmanPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank36Bart VerbruggenPosGKFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank37Justin BijlowPosGKFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank38Kjell ScherpenPosGKFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank39Mark FlekkenPosGKFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank40Nick OlijPosGKFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank41Robin RoefsPosGKFormTeam outlookTop-85.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

▸How to read this table— 4 columns explained

Pos: Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form: Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook: Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1): Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.