Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Tournament scorers · Iraq

Snapshot · 2026-05-29

Iraq — P(scores ≥1 goal)

Every player in Iraq's current call-up pool, ranked by the model's probability that they score at least one goal across the matches Iraq plays at the 2026 World Cup. See /scorers/ for the global top 50 and /countries/irq/ for the predicted squad and probable XI.

59 players in the pool

Rank1Aymen HusseinPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)8.3%
Rank2Mohanad AliPosFWFormTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)8.3%
Rank3Amar MuhsinPosFWFormTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)4.2%
Rank4Ali Al-HamadiPosFWFormTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)4.1%
Rank5Ali YousifPosFWFormTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)3.5%
Rank6Mohammed JawadPosFWFormTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)3.0%
Rank7Pashang AbdullaPosFWFormTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)3.0%
Rank8Hussein LawendyPosFWFormTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)2.3%
Rank9Amir Al-AmmariPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.4%
Rank10Amjad AttwanPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.4%
Rank11Hussein Ali Al-SaediPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.4%
Rank12Ibrahim BayeshPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.4%
Rank13Mohammed QasimPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.4%
Rank14Sherko KarimPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.4%
Rank15Hasan AbdulkareemPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.2%
Rank16Zidane IqbalPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.2%
Rank17Sajjad JassimPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank18Ali JasimPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank19Marko FarjiPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank20Karrar NabeelPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank21Osama RashidPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank22Kevin YakobPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank23Bashar RasanPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank24Zaid IsmailPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank25Aimar SherPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank26Danilo Al-SaedPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank27Rewan AminPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank28Louaï El AniPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank29Mohamed Al-TaayPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank30Montader MadjedPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank31Peter GwargisPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank32Ahmed QasemPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank33Haron Ahmed ZubairPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank34Hayder AbdulkareemPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank35Jussef NasrawePosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank36Youssef AmynPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank37Ali FaezPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank38Manaf YounisPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank39Saad NatiqPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank40Hussein AliPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank41Maitham JabbarPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank42Ahmed YahyaPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank43Mustafa SaadoonPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank44Akam HashimPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank45Rebin SulakaPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank46Frans PutrosPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank47Zaid TahseenPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank48Ahmed MaknziPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank49Merchas DoskiPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank50Mohanad JeahzePosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank51Adam RasheedPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank52Ameer Sabah KhudhairPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank53Dario NaamoPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank54Ahmed BasilPosGKFormTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank55Ali KadhimPosGKFormTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank56Fahad TalibPosGKFormTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank57Jalal HassanPosGKFormSteadyTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank58Kumel Al-RekabePosGKFormTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank59Mohammed SalihPosGKFormTeam outlookLong shot3.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
How to read this table4 columns explained
Pos
Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form
Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook
Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1)
Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.

Full definitions in the glossary.

How this is computed. v0 of the per-player tournament-scorer model. npxG/90 from each player's most recent ≥500-minute Big-5 season; E[minutes] is a two-state mixture of starter (75 min) and substitute (20 min) weighted by caps relative to the team's last-2-year fixture count; team_xG_share is position-weighted within a notional 4-3-3 (FW 4× / MF 2× / DF 1× / GK 0); opp_def_factor is the team-average xG-against multiplier across the other 47 WC nations; E[matches] is the team's expected number of WC matches from the bracket Monte Carlo. Known v0 simplifications: no penalty-taker designation, no set-piece-taker bonus, no fatigue / rotation, constant within-position xG share. See /docs/methodology/ for the full write-up.