Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Tournament scorers · Ecuador

Snapshot · 2026-05-29

Ecuador — P(scores ≥1 goal)

Every player in Ecuador's current call-up pool, ranked by the model's probability that they score at least one goal across the matches Ecuador plays at the 2026 World Cup. See /scorers/ for the global top 50 and /countries/ecu/ for the predicted squad and probable XI.

47 players in the pool

#PlayerPosFormTeam outlookP(scores ≥1)

Rank1Kevin RodríguezPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)16.5%

Rank2Enner ValenciaPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)13.8%

Rank3Jordy CaicedoPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)7.3%

Rank4John MercadoPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)6.9%

Rank5Janner CorozoPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)6.4%

Rank6Jeremy ArévaloPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)6.0%

Rank7Anthony ValenciaPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)5.1%

Rank8John YeboahPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)4.8%

Rank9Elías LegendrePosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)4.7%

Rank10Leonardo CampanaPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)4.7%

Rank11Nilson AnguloPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)4.7%

Rank12Alan FrancoPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)3.0%

Rank13Alan MindaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)2.2%

Rank14Kendry PáezPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)2.2%

Rank15Gonzalo PlataPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.8%

Rank16Pedro VitePosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.8%

Rank17Jordy AlcívarPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.3%

Rank18Piero HincapiéPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%

Rank19Denil CastilloPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%

Rank20Moisés CaicedoPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%

Rank21Darwin GuaguaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%

Rank22Jhegson MéndezPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%

Rank23Bruno CaicedoPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%

Rank24Bryan RamírezPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%

Rank25Ederson CastilloPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%

Rank26Luis FragozoPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%

Rank27Malcom DacostaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%

Rank28Patrik MercadoPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%

Rank29Yaimar MedinaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%

Rank30Jackson PorozoPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%

Rank31Xavier ArreagaPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%

Rank32Pervis EstupiñánPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%

Rank33Ángelo PreciadoPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%

Rank34Joel OrdóñezPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%

Rank35Félix TorresPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%

Rank36José HurtadoPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank37Cristian RamírezPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank38Leonardo RealpePosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank39Deinner OrdóñezPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank40Fricio CaicedoPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank41Jhoanner ChávezPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank42Willian PachoPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank43Cristhian LoorPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank44David CabezasPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank45Gonzalo VallePosGKFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank46Hernán GalíndezPosGKFormRisingTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank47Moisés RamírezPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

▸How to read this table— 4 columns explained

Pos: Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form: Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook: Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1): Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.

Full definitions in the glossary.