Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.
Tournament scorers · Colombia
Snapshot · 2026-05-29Colombia — P(scores ≥1 goal)
Every player in Colombia's current call-up pool, ranked by the model's probability that they score at least one goal across the matches Colombia plays at the 2026 World Cup. See /scorers/ for the global top 50 and /countries/col/ for the predicted squad and probable XI.
59 players in the pool
Rank4Rafael Santos BorréPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)10.4%
Rank6Jhon DuránPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)8.5%
Rank8Sebastián VillaPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)7.2%
Rank10Johan CarboneroPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)5.9%
Rank11Juan CuadradoPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)5.8%
Rank12Stiven MendozaPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)5.6%
Rank13Dayro MorenoPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)5.5%
Rank14Edwuin CetréPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)5.1%
Rank15Kevin ViverosPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)5.1%
Rank16Néiser VillarrealPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)5.1%
Rank17Wilmar BarriosPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)3.2%
Rank26Yáser AsprillaPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.4%
Rank29Sebastián GómezPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank30Kevin SernaPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank31Marino HinestrozaPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank32Rafael CarrascalPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank34Jhon SolísPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank35Johan RojasPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank36Jordan BarreraPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank37Juan Manuel Rengifo [ es ]PosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank38Nelson DeossaPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank41Carlos CuestaPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank45Álvaro AnguloPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank46Juan CabalPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank47Andrés RománPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank49Yerson MosqueraPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank50Cristian BorjaPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank51Édier OcampoPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank52Jhohan RomañaPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank53Junior Hernández [ es ]PosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank54Aldair QuintanaPosGKFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank56Andrés MosqueraPosGKFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank59Kevin MierPosGKFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
▸How to read this table— 4 columns explained
- Pos
- Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
- Form
- Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
- Team outlook
- Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
- P(scores ≥1)
- Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.
Full definitions in the glossary.