Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Tournament scorers · Belgium

Snapshot · 2026-05-29

Belgium — P(scores ≥1 goal)

Every player in Belgium's current call-up pool, ranked by the model's probability that they score at least one goal across the matches Belgium plays at the 2026 World Cup. See /scorers/ for the global top 50 and /countries/bel/ for the predicted squad and probable XI.

39 players in the pool

Rank1Kevin De BruynePKPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)33.1%
Rank2Loïs OpendaPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)15.4%
Rank3Leandro TrossardPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)14.5%
Rank4Charles De KetelaerePosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)13.9%
Rank5Dodi LukébakioPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)11.3%
Rank6Jérémy DokuPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)8.5%
Rank7Malick FofanaPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)7.6%
Rank8Alexis SaelemaekersPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)6.7%
Rank9Mika GodtsPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)6.5%
Rank10Lucas StassinPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)5.9%
Rank11Romeo VermantPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)5.8%
Rank12Romelu LukakuPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)5.5%
Rank13Matias Fernandez-PardoPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)5.3%
Rank14Michy BatshuayiPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)4.0%
Rank15Youri TielemansPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)2.3%
Rank16Nicolas RaskinPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.8%
Rank17Hans VanakenPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.6%
Rank18Thomas MeunierPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.3%
Rank19Amadou OnanaPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank20Arthur TheatePosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank21Charles VanhouttePosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank22Jorthy MokioPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank23Nathan De CatPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank24Diego MoreiraPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank25Zeno DebastPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank26Maxim De CuyperPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank27Koni De WinterPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank28Timothy CastagnePosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank29Wout FaesPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank30Brandon MechelePosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank31Joaquin SeysPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank32Nathan NgoyPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank33Axel WitselPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank34Maarten VandevoordtPosGKFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank35Matz SelsPosGKFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank36Mike PendersPosGKFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank37Nordin JackersPosGKFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank38Senne LammensPosGKFormTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank39Thibaut CourtoisPosGKFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
How to read this table4 columns explained
Pos
Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form
Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook
Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1)
Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.

Full definitions in the glossary.

How this is computed. v0 of the per-player tournament-scorer model. npxG/90 from each player's most recent ≥500-minute Big-5 season; E[minutes] is a two-state mixture of starter (75 min) and substitute (20 min) weighted by caps relative to the team's last-2-year fixture count; team_xG_share is position-weighted within a notional 4-3-3 (FW 4× / MF 2× / DF 1× / GK 0); opp_def_factor is the team-average xG-against multiplier across the other 47 WC nations; E[matches] is the team's expected number of WC matches from the bracket Monte Carlo. Known v0 simplifications: no penalty-taker designation, no set-piece-taker bonus, no fatigue / rotation, constant within-position xG share. See /docs/methodology/ for the full write-up.