Measured in public

11 Jul 2026

Every probability below was published before kickoff and locked. This page scores each one against what actually happened.

0 of 2 matches graded

See how the forecast holds up

OnThePitch grades every probability against what actually happens, and publishes the calibration in the open. Subscribe to follow the retrospectives and research as they ship — one email per post, no marketing.

Already read on Substack? Follow OnThePitch there — same posts, slightly different format.