Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Group G · Matchday 2

EgyptvsNew Zealand

·18:00 local

Histórico de confrontos diretos

DateCompetitionVenueScoreResultxG
22 Mar 2024FIFA SeriesHCairo10W
15 Jul 1999FriendlyNGuadalajara10W
10 Jul 1999FriendlyNMexico City11D

Egypt vs New Zealand, every senior international meeting in the martj42 results dataset (score from Egypt's perspective; H/A/N = home/away/neutral).

Latest news & match context

Team news

No recent headlines for Egypt or New Zealand.

Match conditions
Stage:
Group G · Matchday 2

Both sides face significant squad concerns ahead of this fixture; unlock the full breakdown of player availability with a Pass.

Match-outcome probability

  • Egypt win
    47.9%
  • Draw
    29.0%
  • New Zealand win
    23.1%
Rank checkFIFA ranks New Zealand #86 in the world; the model ranks them #36 in this tournament field, 50 places higher than the FIFA list suggests. All 48 compared →

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That's the headline. The full forecast goes deeper.

The same Dixon-Coles fit behind the probabilities above also produces the breakdowns below — for this match and all 104.

Scoreline distribution

Half-time / full-time

Four models compared

Most likely scorers

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See exactly how Egypt v New Zealand plays out

The most likely scorelines, half-time and full-time paths, all four models side by side, the timing of the first goal, and which players are most likely to score — for this match and every one of the 104.

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Como isso é calculado. Todos os resultados do processo de gols compartilham um mesmo ajuste Dixon-Coles. Veja metodologia.

Dados de 2026-05-28