Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Group G · Matchday 2

EgyptvsNew Zealand

·18:00 local

Storico testa a testa

DateCompetitionVenueScoreResultxG
22 Mar 2024FIFA SeriesHCairo10W
15 Jul 1999FriendlyNGuadalajara10W
10 Jul 1999FriendlyNMexico City11D

Egypt vs New Zealand, every senior international meeting in the martj42 results dataset (score from Egypt's perspective; H/A/N = home/away/neutral).

Latest news & match context

Team news

No recent headlines for Egypt or New Zealand.

Match conditions
Stage:
Group G · Matchday 2

Both sides face significant squad concerns ahead of this fixture; unlock the full breakdown of player availability with a Pass.

Match-outcome probability

  • Egypt win
    47.9%
  • Draw
    29.0%
  • New Zealand win
    23.1%
Rank checkFIFA ranks New Zealand #86 in the world; the model ranks them #36 in this tournament field, 50 places higher than the FIFA list suggests. All 48 compared →

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That's the headline. The full forecast goes deeper.

The same Dixon-Coles fit behind the probabilities above also produces the breakdowns below — for this match and all 104.

Scoreline distribution

Half-time / full-time

Four models compared

Most likely scorers

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See exactly how Egypt v New Zealand plays out

The most likely scorelines, half-time and full-time paths, all four models side by side, the timing of the first goal, and which players are most likely to score — for this match and every one of the 104.

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Come viene calcolato. Tutti gli output sul processo gol condividono un unico fit Dixon-Coles. Vedi metodologia.

Dati al 2026-05-28