Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Group E · Matchday 3

GermanyvsEcuador

·16:00 local

Onderlinge geschiedenis

DateCompetitionVenueScoreResultxG
29 May 2013FriendlyNBoca Raton42W
20 Jun 2006FIFA World CupHBerlin30W

Germany vs Ecuador, every senior international meeting in the martj42 results dataset (score from Germany's perspective; H/A/N = home/away/neutral).

Latest news & match context

Team news

No recent headlines for Germany or Ecuador.

Match conditions
Stage:
Group E · Matchday 3

Both sides contend with a handful of minor squad concerns, and subscribers can unlock the full player-by-player breakdown.

Match-outcome probability

Standard Pass for probabilities

Standard Pass

The model's full forecast for this match

Match-outcome probabilities, the most likely scorelines, scorer probabilities, and the in-match paths, all from one Dixon-Coles fit. The Standard Pass unlocks them for this match and all 104.

Scoreline distribution

Half-time / full-time

Four models compared

Most likely scorers

Standard Pass

See exactly how Germany v Ecuador plays out

The most likely scorelines, half-time and full-time paths, all four models side by side, the timing of the first goal, and which players are most likely to score — for this match and every one of the 104.

Get the Pass — $15

24h self-service refund·No subscription, no auto-renewal·Access through 31 Dec 2026. See refund policy.

Hoe dit wordt berekend. Alle doelpuntenprocessuitvoer deelt dezelfde Dixon-Coles-fit. Zie methodologie.

Stand per 2026-05-28