Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Group E · Matchday 3

GermanyvsEcuador

·16:00 local

상대 전적

DateCompetitionVenueScoreResultxG
29 May 2013FriendlyNBoca Raton42W
20 Jun 2006FIFA World CupHBerlin30W

Germany vs Ecuador, every senior international meeting in the martj42 results dataset (score from Germany's perspective; H/A/N = home/away/neutral).

Latest news & match context

Team news

No recent headlines for Germany or Ecuador.

Match conditions
Stage:
Group E · Matchday 3

Both sides contend with a handful of minor squad concerns, and subscribers can unlock the full player-by-player breakdown.

Match-outcome probability

  • Germany win
    41.1%
  • Draw
    26.9%
  • Ecuador win
    32.0%
Rank checkFIFA ranks Ecuador #23 in the world; the model ranks them #13 in this tournament field, 10 places higher than the FIFA list suggests. All 48 compared →

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That's the headline. The full forecast goes deeper.

The same Dixon-Coles fit behind the probabilities above also produces the breakdowns below — for this match and all 104.

Scoreline distribution

Half-time / full-time

Four models compared

Most likely scorers

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See exactly how Germany v Ecuador plays out

The most likely scorelines, half-time and full-time paths, all four models side by side, the timing of the first goal, and which players are most likely to score — for this match and every one of the 104.

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산출 방법. 모든 골 과정 출력은 하나의 Dixon-Coles 피팅을 공유합니다. 방법론.

2026-05-28 기준 데이터