公开检验
17 Jun 2026
下方每个概率都在开赛前发布并锁定。本页面将每个概率与实际结果进行对比评分。
当日均值： Within expectations
Portugal 1–1 DR Congo was an outcome the model rated at 19.3% (19.3% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 1.220, worse than the 0.667 no-skill mark.
胜过市场对结果赋予了更高的概率
Match ratings
Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.
Portugal8João NevesCMScored the opening goal for Portugal with a well-placed header, providing an early lead.7Nuno MendesLBMade a dangerous attacking run and had a shot on target, showing good offensive contribution from defense.7ConceiçãoRWProvided a good pass that created a clear scoring opportunity for Ronaldo.DR Congo8WissaSTScored the crucial equalizer for Congo DR just before half-time and showed attacking threat with another shot.7BakambuSTCreated a significant chance by hitting the post, demonstrating his attacking threat.5MbembaCBReceived a yellow card for a foul, impacting his defensive rating.Uzbekistan 1–3 Colombia was the outcome the model rated most likely (67.4% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.169, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.
市场对结果赋予了更高的概率
Match ratings
Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.
Uzbekistan7Utkir YusupovGKDespite conceding three goals, he made several crucial saves that kept Uzbekistan in the game for extended periods.Colombia9Luis DíazLWDelivered a man-of-the-match performance, constantly threatening the opposition goal and scoring a crucial goal.8Daniel MuñozRBScored a crucial opening goal with a well-taken volley, demonstrating excellent attacking instincts from his defensive role.7Jaminton CampazSTMade an immediate impact by scoring a late goal to seal the victory after coming on as a substitute.England 4–2 Croatia was the outcome the model rated most likely (50.4% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.370, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.
市场对结果赋予了更高的概率
Match ratings
Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.
England8Harry KaneSTScored two crucial goals, including a penalty and a header, demonstrating his clinical finishing.7Jude BellinghamCMScored England's third goal early in the second half, putting them ahead for good.7Marcus RashfordLWScored England's fourth goal, extending their lead and securing the victory.Croatia7BaturinaCMScored Croatia's first equalizer with a powerful and well-struck shot.7MusaSTScored Croatia's second equalizer just before half-time, keeping his team in the game.7Dominik LivakovicGKMade several crucial saves, including a penalty stop and a double save, despite his team conceding four goals.Ghana 1–0 Panama was an outcome the model rated at 27.5% (27.5% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.801, worse than the 0.667 no-skill mark.
市场对结果赋予了更高的概率
Match ratings
Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.
Ghana9Lawrence Ati-ZigiGKHis numerous crucial saves throughout the match, especially early on and at the very end, were instrumental in securing the clean sheet and the victory for Ghana.8Antoine SemenyoSTSemenyo scored the decisive late goal with a composed finish after a good dribble, proving to be Ghana's key attacking threat.7Jordan AyewSTAyew provided an attacking presence for Ghana, having a shot on target and showing good predatory instincts in the box.Panama6Cristian MartínezCMMartínez was a persistent attacking threat for Panama, creating several chances and having multiple shots, but ultimately lacked the precision to convert.5Jiovany RamosCBRamos had a moment of individual attacking endeavor with a shot from outside the box, but it failed to hit the target.5Ismael DíazSTDíaz had a final effort on target in injury time that was saved, almost snatching a late equalizer for Panama.
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