France, Norway, Senegal, Iraq
Projected standings
| Team | Conf | FIFA | Finish distribution | Win group | Advance |
|---|
| France | | 3 | | 60.1% | 96.3% |
| Norway | | 29 | | 22.7% | 82.9% |
| Senegal | | 19 | | 16.3% | 75.4% |
| Iraq | | — | | 1.0% | 15.4% |
Top two advance to the round of 32; best 8 of 12 third-placed teams also qualify.