Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.
Buteurs du tournoi · Sweden
Snapshot · 2026-05-29Model 1.0.0Sweden — P(marque au moins 1 but)
Chaque joueur du groupe de sélection actuel de Sweden, classé par la probabilité du modèle qu'il marque au moins un but sur l'ensemble des matchs que Sweden dispute à la Coupe du Monde 2026. Voir /scorers/ pour le top 50 mondial et /countries/swe/ pour l'effectif prédit et le XI probable.
49 joueurs dans le groupe
#PlayerFormTeam outlook
Rank2Emil ForsbergPKPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)16.4%
Rank6Benjamin NygrenPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)7.9%
Rank9Isac LidbergPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)5.5%
Rank10Roony BardghjiPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)5.5%
Rank11Niclas EliassonPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)5.0%
Rank13Jordan LarssonPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)4.7%
Rank14Taha AliPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)4.7%
Rank15Momodou SonkoPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)4.3%
Rank17Sebastian NanasiPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)2.5%
Rank19Anton SalétrosPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)2.0%
Rank22Hugo LarssonPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.3%
Rank24Hugo BolinPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank25Williot SwedbergPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank27Gustav LundgrenPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank37Samuel DahlPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank38Victor ErikssonPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank39Axel NorénPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank40Elliot StroudPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank42John MellbergPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank43Emil KrafthPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank46Melker EllborgPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank47Noel TörnqvistPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank48Robin OlsenPosGKFormSteadyTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
▸How to read this table— 4 columns explained
- Pos
- Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
- Form
- Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
- Team outlook
- Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
- P(scores ≥1)
- Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.