Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

هدّافو البطولة · Sweden

Snapshot · 2026-05-29Model 1.0.0

SwedenP(يسجل هدفاً واحداً على الأقل)

كل لاعب في مجموعة Sweden الحالية، مرتّب حسب احتمالية النموذج لتسجيله هدفاً واحداً على الأقل عبر المباريات التي يخوضها Sweden في كأس العالم 2026. انظر /scorers/ لأفضل 50 عالمياً و /countries/swe/ للتشكيلة المتوقعة والتشكيلة الأساسية المرجّحة.

49 لاعب في المجموعة

Rank1Alexander IsakPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)18.3%
Rank2Emil ForsbergPKPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)16.4%
Rank3Viktor GyökeresPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)9.5%
Rank4Benjamin NygrenPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)9.3%
Rank5Gustaf NilssonPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)8.8%
Rank6Benjamin NygrenPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)7.9%
Rank7Anthony ElangaPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)7.3%
Rank8Alexander BernhardssonPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)6.8%
Rank9Isac LidbergPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)5.5%
Rank10Roony BardghjiPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)5.5%
Rank11Niclas EliassonPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)5.0%
Rank12Taha AliPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)4.9%
Rank13Jordan LarssonPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)4.7%
Rank14Taha AliPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)4.7%
Rank15Momodou SonkoPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)4.3%
Rank16Mattias SvanbergPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)2.9%
Rank17Sebastian NanasiPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)2.5%
Rank18Yasin AyariPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)2.3%
Rank19Anton SalétrosPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)2.0%
Rank20Jesper KarlströmPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.4%
Rank21Ken SemaPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.4%
Rank22Hugo LarssonPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.3%
Rank23Lucas BergvallPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank24Hugo BolinPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank25Williot SwedbergPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank26Besfort ZeneliPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank27Gustav LundgrenPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank28Gabriel GudmundssonPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank29Daniel SvenssonPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank30Emil HolmPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank31Victor LindelöfPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank32Carl StarfeltPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank33Gustaf LagerbielkePosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank34Isak HienPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank35Hjalmar EkdalPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank36Herman JohanssonPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank37Samuel DahlPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank38Victor ErikssonPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank39Axel NorénPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank40Elliot StroudPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank41Eric SmithPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank42John MellbergPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank43Emil KrafthPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank44Jacob Widell ZetterströmPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank45Kristoffer NordfeldtPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank46Melker EllborgPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank47Noel TörnqvistPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank48Robin OlsenPosGKFormSteadyTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank49Viktor JohanssonPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout3.8 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
How to read this table4 columns explained
Pos
Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form
Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook
Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1)
Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.

كيف يُحسَب هذا. v0 of the per-player tournament-scorer model. npxG/90 from each player's most recent ≥500-minute Big-5 season; E[minutes] is a two-state mixture of starter (75 min) and substitute (20 min) weighted by caps relative to the team's last-2-year fixture count; team_xG_share is position-weighted within a notional 4-3-3 (FW 4× / MF 2× / DF 1× / GK 0); opp_def_factor is the team-average xG-against multiplier across the other 47 WC nations; E[matches] is the team's expected number of WC matches from the bracket Monte Carlo. Known v0 simplifications: no penalty-taker designation, no set-piece-taker bonus, no fatigue / rotation, constant within-position xG share. See /docs/methodology/ for the full write-up.