Pronóstico frente a resultado · Group J · Matchday 2

Argentina vs Austria

2026-06-22

El resumen se publica al pitido final. Cuando este partido termine, esta página mostrará cómo el pronóstico previo congelado se comportó frente al resultado real: Brier score, log loss y xG final frente a xG predicho. Hasta entonces, síguelo en vivo en el seguimiento en vivo.

Pre-match forecast

Argentina win
65.1%
Draw
25.7%
Austria win
9.2%
Argentina
1.61
expected
goals
Austria
0.60

Video analysis: player performance

Per-player ratings and event breakdowns from official highlights analysis. Tap a player to see their full match timeline.

Argentina
6
Lautaro Martínez

Contributed to the team's offensive shape with intelligent runs, though without direct goal involvement.

Austria
8
Austrian Goalkeeper9'–716'

Made numerous crucial saves, including an early penalty, preventing a much larger defeat for Austria.

11saves

Match timeline

9'Messi's penalty kick was saved by the Austrian goalkeeper.
48'Lionel Messi's (10 ARG) shot is saved by the Austrian goalkeeper.
58'Lionel Messi's (10 ARG) shot is saved by the Austrian goalkeeper.
522'Lionel Messi's (10 ARG) shot is saved by the Austrian goalkeeper.
555'Lionel Messi's (10 ARG) shot is saved by the Austrian goalkeeper.
600'Lionel Messi's (10 ARG) shot is saved by the Austrian goalkeeper.
628'Lionel Messi's (10 ARG) shot is saved by the Austrian goalkeeper.
632'Lionel Messi's (10 ARG) shot is saved by the Austrian goalkeeper.
646'Lionel Messi's (10 ARG) shot is saved by the Austrian goalkeeper.
657'Lionel Messi's (10 ARG) free-kick is saved by the Austrian goalkeeper.
716'Lionel Messi's (10 ARG) shot is saved by the Austrian goalkeeper.

Match observations

  • The match highlights illustrate Argentina's attacking superiority, largely driven by Lionel Messi's influence. Austria adopted a defensive posture, frequently resorting to fouls to impede Argentina's offensive movements, especially against Messi.
  • The game was characterized by Argentina's persistent pressure and Austria's resilient, albeit often physical, defending.
  • The match began with a ceremonial display of national flags, setting a grand stage for the encounter.

Cómo leer esto. El Brier y el log-loss de un solo partido son ruidosos; lo que importa es cómo calibra el pronóstico a lo largo de muchos partidos. Este resumen por partido es una fila del marcador de calibración agregado en /docs/calibration/. La probabilidad previa al partido que se muestra aquí es la que se congeló antes del saque inicial; nunca se actualizó durante el juego.