Previsão vs resultado · Group J · Matchday 2

Argentina vs Austria

2026-06-22

A retrospectiva é publicada ao apito final. Quando este jogo terminar, esta página mostrará como a previsão pré-jogo congelada abaixo se saiu contra o resultado realizado — Brier score, log loss e xG final vs xG previsto. Até lá, acompanhe ao vivo no acompanhamento ao vivo.

Pre-match forecast

Argentina win
65.1%
Draw
25.7%
Austria win
9.2%
Argentina
1.61
expected
goals
Austria
0.60

Video analysis: player performance

Per-player ratings and event breakdowns from official highlights analysis. Tap a player to see their full match timeline.

Argentina
6
Lautaro Martínez

Contributed to the team's offensive shape with intelligent runs, though without direct goal involvement.

Austria
8
Austrian Goalkeeper9'–716'

Made numerous crucial saves, including an early penalty, preventing a much larger defeat for Austria.

11saves

Match timeline

9'Messi's penalty kick was saved by the Austrian goalkeeper.
48'Lionel Messi's (10 ARG) shot is saved by the Austrian goalkeeper.
58'Lionel Messi's (10 ARG) shot is saved by the Austrian goalkeeper.
522'Lionel Messi's (10 ARG) shot is saved by the Austrian goalkeeper.
555'Lionel Messi's (10 ARG) shot is saved by the Austrian goalkeeper.
600'Lionel Messi's (10 ARG) shot is saved by the Austrian goalkeeper.
628'Lionel Messi's (10 ARG) shot is saved by the Austrian goalkeeper.
632'Lionel Messi's (10 ARG) shot is saved by the Austrian goalkeeper.
646'Lionel Messi's (10 ARG) shot is saved by the Austrian goalkeeper.
657'Lionel Messi's (10 ARG) free-kick is saved by the Austrian goalkeeper.
716'Lionel Messi's (10 ARG) shot is saved by the Austrian goalkeeper.

Match observations

  • The match highlights illustrate Argentina's attacking superiority, largely driven by Lionel Messi's influence. Austria adopted a defensive posture, frequently resorting to fouls to impede Argentina's offensive movements, especially against Messi.
  • The game was characterized by Argentina's persistent pressure and Austria's resilient, albeit often physical, defending.
  • The match began with a ceremonial display of national flags, setting a grand stage for the encounter.

Como ler isto. O Brier e o log-loss de um jogo isolado são ruidosos — o que importa é como a previsão se calibra ao longo de muitos jogos. Esta retrospectiva por jogo é uma linha do placar de calibração agregado em /docs/calibration/. A probabilidade pré-jogo mostrada aqui é a que foi congelada antes do início; ela nunca foi atualizada durante o jogo.