Prévision vs résultat · Group J · Matchday 2

Argentina vs Austria

2026-06-22

Le récapitulatif sera publié au coup de sifflet final. Quand ce match sera terminé, cette page montrera comment la prévision pré-match figée ci-dessous s'est comparée au résultat réel : Brier score, log loss et xG final vs xG prédit. En attendant, suivez le match en direct sur le suivi en direct.

Pre-match forecast

Argentina win
65.1%
Draw
25.7%
Austria win
9.2%
Argentina
1.61
expected
goals
Austria
0.60

Video analysis: player performance

Per-player ratings and event breakdowns from official highlights analysis. Tap a player to see their full match timeline.

Argentina
6
Lautaro Martínez

Contributed to the team's offensive shape with intelligent runs, though without direct goal involvement.

Austria
8
Austrian Goalkeeper9'–716'

Made numerous crucial saves, including an early penalty, preventing a much larger defeat for Austria.

11saves

Match timeline

9'Messi's penalty kick was saved by the Austrian goalkeeper.
48'Lionel Messi's (10 ARG) shot is saved by the Austrian goalkeeper.
58'Lionel Messi's (10 ARG) shot is saved by the Austrian goalkeeper.
522'Lionel Messi's (10 ARG) shot is saved by the Austrian goalkeeper.
555'Lionel Messi's (10 ARG) shot is saved by the Austrian goalkeeper.
600'Lionel Messi's (10 ARG) shot is saved by the Austrian goalkeeper.
628'Lionel Messi's (10 ARG) shot is saved by the Austrian goalkeeper.
632'Lionel Messi's (10 ARG) shot is saved by the Austrian goalkeeper.
646'Lionel Messi's (10 ARG) shot is saved by the Austrian goalkeeper.
657'Lionel Messi's (10 ARG) free-kick is saved by the Austrian goalkeeper.
716'Lionel Messi's (10 ARG) shot is saved by the Austrian goalkeeper.

Match observations

  • The match highlights illustrate Argentina's attacking superiority, largely driven by Lionel Messi's influence. Austria adopted a defensive posture, frequently resorting to fouls to impede Argentina's offensive movements, especially against Messi.
  • The game was characterized by Argentina's persistent pressure and Austria's resilient, albeit often physical, defending.
  • The match began with a ceremonial display of national flags, setting a grand stage for the encounter.

Comment lire ces résultats. Le Brier score et le log loss d'un seul match sont bruités : ce qui compte, c'est la calibration de la prévision sur de nombreux matchs. Ce récapitulatif par match est une ligne du tableau de calibration global à /docs/calibration/. La probabilité pré-match affichée ici est celle figée avant le coup d'envoi ; elle n'a jamais été recalculée en cours de match.