Tahmin ve sonuç · Group J · Matchday 2

Argentina - Austria

2026-06-22

Özet maç sonunda yayımlanır. Bu maç bittiğinde, bu sayfa aşağıdaki dondurulmuş maç öncesi tahminin gerçekleşen sonuca karşı nasıl performans gösterdiğini gösterir: Brier score, log loss ve gerçekleşen xG ile tahmini xG. O zamana kadar maçı canlı takip edin: canlı takipçi.

Pre-match forecast

Argentina win
65.1%
Draw
25.7%
Austria win
9.2%
Argentina
1.61
expected
goals
Austria
0.60

Video analysis: player performance

Per-player ratings and event breakdowns from official highlights analysis. Tap a player to see their full match timeline.

Argentina
6
Lautaro Martínez

Contributed to the team's offensive shape with intelligent runs, though without direct goal involvement.

Austria
8
Austrian Goalkeeper9'–716'

Made numerous crucial saves, including an early penalty, preventing a much larger defeat for Austria.

11saves

Match timeline

9'Messi's penalty kick was saved by the Austrian goalkeeper.
48'Lionel Messi's (10 ARG) shot is saved by the Austrian goalkeeper.
58'Lionel Messi's (10 ARG) shot is saved by the Austrian goalkeeper.
522'Lionel Messi's (10 ARG) shot is saved by the Austrian goalkeeper.
555'Lionel Messi's (10 ARG) shot is saved by the Austrian goalkeeper.
600'Lionel Messi's (10 ARG) shot is saved by the Austrian goalkeeper.
628'Lionel Messi's (10 ARG) shot is saved by the Austrian goalkeeper.
632'Lionel Messi's (10 ARG) shot is saved by the Austrian goalkeeper.
646'Lionel Messi's (10 ARG) shot is saved by the Austrian goalkeeper.
657'Lionel Messi's (10 ARG) free-kick is saved by the Austrian goalkeeper.
716'Lionel Messi's (10 ARG) shot is saved by the Austrian goalkeeper.

Match observations

  • The match highlights illustrate Argentina's attacking superiority, largely driven by Lionel Messi's influence. Austria adopted a defensive posture, frequently resorting to fouls to impede Argentina's offensive movements, especially against Messi.
  • The game was characterized by Argentina's persistent pressure and Austria's resilient, albeit often physical, defending.
  • The match began with a ceremonial display of national flags, setting a grand stage for the encounter.

Bu nasıl okunur. Tek bir maçın Brier ve log loss değerleri gürültülüdür; asıl önemli olan tahminin birçok maç boyunca nasıl kalibre olduğudur. Bu maç bazında özet, şu adresteki toplu kalibrasyon puan tablosunun bir satırıdır: /docs/calibration/. Burada gösterilen maç öncesi olasılık, başlama vuruşundan önce dondurulan olasılıktır; maç sırasında hiçbir zaman güncellenmemiştir.