Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Turniertor-Wahrscheinlichkeiten · Scotland

Snapshot · 2026-05-29Model 1.0.0

Scotland — P(erzielt mindestens 1 Tor)

Alle Spieler im aktuellen Aufgebot von Scotland, sortiert nach der Modell-Wahrscheinlichkeit, dass sie mindestens ein Tor in den Spielen von Scotland bei der FIFA Fussball-WM 2026 erzielen. Siehe /scorers/ für die globale Top 50 und /countries/sco/ für den prognostizierten Kader und die voraussichtliche Startelf.

42 Spieler im Aufgebot

#PlayerFormTeam outlook

Rank1Ché AdamsPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)9.9%

Rank2Lyndon DykesPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)8.7%

Rank3George HirstPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)7.8%

Rank4Lawrence ShanklandPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)7.3%

Rank5Tommy ConwayPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)7.0%

Rank6Scott McTominayPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)5.1%

Rank7Ross StewartPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)4.5%

Rank8Kieron BowiePosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)4.3%

Rank9James WilsonPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)4.1%

Rank10John McGinnPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)2.8%

Rank11Ryan ChristiePosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)1.8%

Rank12Kenny McLeanPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)1.6%

Rank13Ben Gannon-DoakPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)1.3%

Rank14Billy GilmourPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)1.3%

Rank15Lennon MillerPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%

Rank16Andy IrvingPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%

Rank17Connor BarronPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%

Rank18Findlay CurtisPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%

Rank19Lewis FergusonPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%

Rank20Josh MulliganPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%

Rank21Jack HendryPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%

Rank22Andy RobertsonPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%

Rank23Grant HanleyPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%

Rank24Anthony RalstonPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank25John SouttarPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank26Aaron HickeyPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank27Max JohnstonPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank28Dominic HyamPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank29Ross McCroriePosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank30Nathan PattersonPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank31Josh DoigPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%

Rank32Scott McKennaPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%

Rank33Kieran TierneyPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%

Rank34Angus GunnPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank35Callan McKennaPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank36Cieran SlickerPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank37Craig GordonPosGKFormSteadyTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank38Liam KellyPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank39Robby McCroriePosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank40Ross DoohanPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank41Scott BainPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank42Zander ClarkPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

▸How to read this table— 4 columns explained

Pos: Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form: Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook: Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1): Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.