Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Marcatori del torneo · Scotland

Snapshot · 2026-05-29Model 1.0.0

ScotlandP(segna almeno 1 gol)

Ogni giocatore nel pool di convocabili di Scotland, ordinato per probabilità del modello che segni almeno un gol nelle partite di Scotland alla Coppa del Mondo 2026. Vedi /scorers/ per la top 50 globale e /countries/sco/ per la rosa prevista e il probabile XI.

42 giocatori nel pool

Rank1Ché AdamsPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)9.9%
Rank2Lyndon DykesPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)8.7%
Rank3George HirstPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)7.8%
Rank4Lawrence ShanklandPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)7.3%
Rank5Tommy ConwayPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)7.0%
Rank6Scott McTominayPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)5.1%
Rank7Ross StewartPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)4.5%
Rank8Kieron BowiePosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)4.3%
Rank9James WilsonPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)4.1%
Rank10John McGinnPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)2.8%
Rank11Ryan ChristiePosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)1.8%
Rank12Kenny McLeanPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)1.6%
Rank13Ben Gannon-DoakPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)1.3%
Rank14Billy GilmourPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)1.3%
Rank15Lennon MillerPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank16Andy IrvingPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank17Connor BarronPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank18Findlay CurtisPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank19Lewis FergusonPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank20Josh MulliganPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank21Jack HendryPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank22Andy RobertsonPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank23Grant HanleyPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank24Anthony RalstonPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank25John SouttarPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank26Aaron HickeyPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank27Max JohnstonPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank28Dominic HyamPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank29Ross McCroriePosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank30Nathan PattersonPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank31Josh DoigPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank32Scott McKennaPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank33Kieran TierneyPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank34Angus GunnPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank35Callan McKennaPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank36Cieran SlickerPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank37Craig GordonPosGKFormSteadyTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank38Liam KellyPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank39Robby McCroriePosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank40Ross DoohanPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank41Scott BainPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank42Zander ClarkPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout4.0 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
How to read this table4 columns explained
Pos
Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form
Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook
Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1)
Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.

Come viene calcolato. v0 of the per-player tournament-scorer model. npxG/90 from each player's most recent ≥500-minute Big-5 season; E[minutes] is a two-state mixture of starter (75 min) and substitute (20 min) weighted by caps relative to the team's last-2-year fixture count; team_xG_share is position-weighted within a notional 4-3-3 (FW 4× / MF 2× / DF 1× / GK 0); opp_def_factor is the team-average xG-against multiplier across the other 47 WC nations; E[matches] is the team's expected number of WC matches from the bracket Monte Carlo. Known v0 simplifications: no penalty-taker designation, no set-piece-taker bonus, no fatigue / rotation, constant within-position xG share. See /docs/methodology/ for the full write-up.