هدّافو البطولة · Scotland

Snapshot · 2026-06-23Model 1.0.0

ScotlandP(يسجل هدفاً واحداً على الأقل)

كل لاعب في مجموعة Scotland الحالية، مرتّب حسب احتمالية النموذج لتسجيله هدفاً واحداً على الأقل عبر المباريات التي يخوضها Scotland في كأس العالم 2026. انظر /scorers/ لأفضل 50 عالمياً و /countries/sco/ للتشكيلة المتوقعة والتشكيلة الأساسية المرجّحة.

42 لاعب في المجموعة

Rank1Ché AdamsPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)11.1%
Rank2Lyndon DykesPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)9.0%
Rank3George HirstPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)8.3%
Rank4Lawrence ShanklandPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)7.6%
Rank5Tommy ConwayPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)7.5%
Rank6Scott McTominayPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)7.2%
Rank7Ross StewartPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)4.8%
Rank8Kieron BowiePosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)4.5%
Rank9James WilsonPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)4.3%
Rank10Ryan ChristiePosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)4.0%
Rank11John McGinnPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)2.5%
Rank12Billy GilmourPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)2.0%
Rank13Kenny McLeanPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.6%
Rank14Ben Gannon-DoakPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.4%
Rank15Lennon MillerPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank16Lewis FergusonPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank17Andy IrvingPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank18Connor BarronPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank19Findlay CurtisPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank20Josh MulliganPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank21Jack HendryPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank22Andy RobertsonPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank23Grant HanleyPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank24Anthony RalstonPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank25John SouttarPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank26Aaron HickeyPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank27Scott McKennaPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank28Max JohnstonPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank29Dominic HyamPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank30Ross McCroriePosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank31Nathan PattersonPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank32Josh DoigPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank33Kieran TierneyPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank34Angus GunnPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank35Callan McKennaPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank36Cieran SlickerPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank37Craig GordonPosGKFormSteadyTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank38Liam KellyPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank39Robby McCroriePosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank40Ross DoohanPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank41Scott BainPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank42Zander ClarkPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout4.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
How to read this table4 columns explained
Pos
Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form
Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook
Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1)
Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.

كيف يُحسَب هذا. v0 of the per-player tournament-scorer model. npxG/90 from each player's most recent ≥500-minute Big-5 season; E[minutes] is a two-state mixture of starter (75 min) and substitute (20 min) weighted by caps relative to the team's last-2-year fixture count; team_xG_share is position-weighted within a notional 4-3-3 (FW 4× / MF 2× / DF 1× / GK 0); opp_def_factor is the team-average xG-against multiplier across the other 47 WC nations; E[matches] is the team's expected number of WC matches from the bracket Monte Carlo. Known v0 simplifications: no penalty-taker designation, no set-piece-taker bonus, no fatigue / rotation, constant within-position xG share. See /docs/methodology/ for the full write-up.