Medido em público

12 Jun 2026

Cada probabilidade abaixo foi publicada antes do início e travada. Esta página avalia cada uma em relação ao que realmente aconteceu.

2 de 2 jogos avaliados
0
Acertou em cheio
Alta confiança, resultado certo
0
Boa leitura
Deu a maior probabilidade ao que aconteceu
2
Esperado
O resultado ficou dentro da faixa
0
Surpresa
O modelo não previu isso

Média do dia: Within expectations

  • CanadavsBosnia and Herzegovina
    AvaliadoTravada em 10 Jun
    1 – 1
    • Canada54.7%
    • Empate · realizado26.4%
    • Bosnia and Herzegovina18.9%
    Veredito
    Within expectations

    Canada 1–1 Bosnia and Herzegovina was an outcome the model rated at 26.4% (26.4% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.876, worse than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Supera os mercadosDeu mais probabilidade ao resultado

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Canada
    8Cyle LarinCame off the bench to score the crucial equalizing goal, making a significant impact.
    6Liam MillarCommitted a foul and was substituted without making a significant impact.
    6Jonathan DavidDrew a yellow card for an opponent but had no other significant actions.
    Bosnia and Herzegovina
    8Jovo LukićScored Bosnia's opening goal with a header from a corner.
    8Nikola VasiljMade several crucial saves throughout the match, keeping his team in contention.
    7Sead KolašinacMade an astonishing goal-line clearance but received an early yellow card.
  • United StatesvsParaguay
    AvaliadoTravada em 10 Jun
    4 – 1
    • United States · realizado29.3%
    • Empate29.4%
    • Paraguay41.3%
    Veredito
    Within expectations

    United States 4–1 Paraguay was an outcome the model rated at 29.3% (29.3% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.757, worse than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Os mercados deram mais probabilidade ao resultado

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    United States
    9Folarin BalogunScored two crucial goals for the USA, demonstrating clinical finishing and a strong offensive presence.
    8Gio ReynaContributed a well-placed goal for the USA, adding to their commanding lead.
    7Weston McKennieShowed good attacking intent with a notable shot on goal that tested the opposition goalkeeper.
    Paraguay
    3Damian BobadillaScored an own goal that put the USA ahead, representing a costly error for his team.

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Model report card — 12 Jun 2026 · onthepitch