公开检验

12 Jun 2026

下方每个概率都在开赛前发布并锁定。本页面将每个概率与实际结果进行对比评分。

已评分 2/2 场
0
精准命中
高置信度，结果正确
0
判断有力
对实际结果赋予了最高概率
2
符合预期
结果在预测范围之内
0
意外
模型未能预见到这一点

当日均值： Within expectations

  • CanadavsBosnia and Herzegovina
    已评分锁定于 10 Jun
    1 – 1
    • Canada54.7%
    • 平局 · 实际26.4%
    • Bosnia and Herzegovina18.9%
    结论
    Within expectations

    Canada 1–1 Bosnia and Herzegovina was an outcome the model rated at 26.4% (26.4% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.876, worse than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    胜过市场对结果赋予了更高的概率

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Canada
    8Cyle LarinCame off the bench to score the crucial equalizing goal, making a significant impact.
    6Liam MillarCommitted a foul and was substituted without making a significant impact.
    6Jonathan DavidDrew a yellow card for an opponent but had no other significant actions.
    Bosnia and Herzegovina
    8Jovo LukićScored Bosnia's opening goal with a header from a corner.
    8Nikola VasiljMade several crucial saves throughout the match, keeping his team in contention.
    7Sead KolašinacMade an astonishing goal-line clearance but received an early yellow card.
  • United StatesvsParaguay
    已评分锁定于 10 Jun
    4 – 1
    • United States · 实际29.3%
    • 平局29.4%
    • Paraguay41.3%
    结论
    Within expectations

    United States 4–1 Paraguay was an outcome the model rated at 29.3% (29.3% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.757, worse than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    市场对结果赋予了更高的概率

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    United States
    9Folarin BalogunScored two crucial goals for the USA, demonstrating clinical finishing and a strong offensive presence.
    8Gio ReynaContributed a well-placed goal for the USA, adding to their commanding lead.
    7Weston McKennieShowed good attacking intent with a notable shot on goal that tested the opposition goalkeeper.
    Paraguay
    3Damian BobadillaScored an own goal that put the USA ahead, representing a costly error for his team.

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Model report card — 12 Jun 2026 · onthepitch