Medido em público

13 Jun 2026

Cada probabilidade abaixo foi publicada antes do início e travada. Esta página avalia cada uma em relação ao que realmente aconteceu.

4 de 4 jogos avaliados
1
Acertou em cheio
Alta confiança, resultado certo
0
Boa leitura
Deu a maior probabilidade ao que aconteceu
2
Esperado
O resultado ficou dentro da faixa
1
Surpresa
O modelo não previu isso

Média do dia: Within expectations

  • QatarvsSwitzerland
    AvaliadoTravada em 10 Jun
    1 – 1
    • Qatar4.8%
    • Empate · realizado15.4%
    • Switzerland79.7%
    Veredito
    Surprise result

    Qatar 1–1 Switzerland was an outcome the model rated at 15.4% (15.4% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 1.353, worse than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Supera os mercadosDeu mais probabilidade ao resultado

    Read: what the model missed →

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Qatar
    8Mahmud AbunadaMade numerous crucial saves to keep his team in the game, despite conceding a penalty and receiving a yellow card.
    7Boualem KhoukhiScored a dramatic late equalizer but also received a yellow card.
    6Akram AfifHad an early shot on target but otherwise had no significant impact.
    Switzerland
    8Breel EmboloScored the opening goal from the penalty spot with composure.
    7Remo FreulerWon the penalty that led to his team's opening goal.
    7Ruben VargasWas fouled twice, leading to two yellow cards for an opponent, and had several shots.
  • BrazilvsMorocco
    AvaliadoTravada em 10 Jun
    1 – 1
    • Brazil53.8%
    • Empate · realizado27.7%
    • Morocco18.5%
    Veredito
    Within expectations

    Brazil 1–1 Morocco was an outcome the model rated at 27.7% (27.7% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.847, worse than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Supera os mercadosDeu mais probabilidade ao resultado

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Brazil
    8Ederson MoraesMade a vital save in the second half, ensuring his team maintained a clean sheet.
    7RaphinhaCreated an attacking opportunity with a shot on target that was saved by the opposing goalkeeper.
    6Neymar JrWas involved in several attacking movements but ultimately failed to convert any chances.
    Morocco
    8Yassine BounouMade a crucial save in the second half, contributing significantly to his team's clean sheet.
    6Amine AdliCame on as a substitute but had no notable impact on the match.
    6Abde EzzalzouliPlayed for a significant portion of the match without any specific notable contributions.
  • HaitivsScotland
    AvaliadoTravada em 10 Jun
    0 – 1
    • Haiti11.2%
    • Empate20.2%
    • Scotland · realizado68.6%
    Veredito
    Nailed it

    Haiti 0–1 Scotland was the outcome the model rated most likely (68.6% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.152, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Supera os mercadosDeu mais probabilidade ao resultado

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Haiti
    8Johny PlacideMade several crucial saves throughout the match, keeping Haiti in contention.
    6Louicius DeedsonWas involved in several attacking moves for Haiti but also received a yellow card for a foul.
    6Wilson IsidorHad a shot blocked and a header wide but did not make a significant impact before being substituted.
    Scotland
    8John McGinnScored Scotland's opening and only goal, demonstrating good attacking presence and finishing.
    7Scott McTominayCame very close to scoring with a shot that hit the post and showed attacking intent, despite receiving a yellow card.
    6Ché AdamsWas fouled twice by opponents, drawing yellow cards, but had no other notable contributions.
  • AustraliavsTurkey
    AvaliadoTravada em 10 Jun
    2 – 0
    • Australia · realizado30.6%
    • Empate26.8%
    • Turkey42.6%
    Veredito
    Within expectations

    Australia 2–0 Turkey was an outcome the model rated at 30.6% (30.6% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.734, worse than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Supera os mercadosDeu mais probabilidade ao resultado

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Australia
    9Patrick BeachDelivered an outstanding performance in goal, making several crucial saves to maintain a clean sheet.
    8Nestory IrankundaScored the opening goal for Australia, demonstrating pace and determination.
    8Connor MetcalfeSecured Australia's second goal with a composed finish.
    Turkey
    7Abdülkerim BardakcıCame close to scoring for Türkiye, hitting the post with a powerful strike.
    6Kenan YıldızEntered as a substitute but had no specific notable actions.
    6Barış Alper YılmazPlayed for 45 minutes without any specific notable actions.

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Model report card — 13 Jun 2026 · onthepitch