Medido em público

11 Jun 2026

Cada probabilidade abaixo foi publicada antes do início e travada. Esta página avalia cada uma em relação ao que realmente aconteceu.

2 de 2 jogos avaliados
0
Acertou em cheio
Alta confiança, resultado certo
1
Boa leitura
Deu a maior probabilidade ao que aconteceu
1
Esperado
O resultado ficou dentro da faixa
0
Surpresa
O modelo não previu isso

Média do dia: Strong read

  • MexicovsSouth Africa
    AvaliadoTravada em 10 Jun
    2 – 0
    • Mexico · realizado64.1%
    • Empate24.8%
    • South Africa11.1%
    Veredito
    Strong read

    Mexico 2–0 South Africa was the outcome the model rated most likely (64.1% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.202, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Os mercados deram mais probabilidade ao resultado

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Mexico
    9Julián QuiñonesScored two crucial goals for Mexico with a close-range finish and a rebound, and was active in creating further opportunities.
    9Raúl JiménezScored two goals for Mexico, including a header and a composed finish, significantly extending his team's lead.
    South Africa
    7ModibaRegistered South Africa's only notable shot on target with a long-range effort that required a save from the Mexico goalkeeper.
  • South KoreavsCzech Republic
    AvaliadoTravada em 10 Jun
    2 – 1
    • South Korea · realizado36.7%
    • Empate26.6%
    • Czech Republic36.7%
    Veredito
    Within expectations

    South Korea 2–1 Czech Republic was the outcome the model rated most likely (36.7% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.606, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Supera os mercadosDeu mais probabilidade ao resultado

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    South Korea
    8Kim Seung-gyuMade several vital stops, including a crucial late save, proving instrumental in securing the win.
    8Hwang In-beomScored South Korea's equalising goal with a precise finish, initiating the comeback.
    8Oh Hyeon-gyuCame off the bench to score South Korea's winning goal, securing the comeback victory.
    Czech Republic
    8Czechia #7Opened the scoring for Czech Republic with a well-executed header from a set-piece.

See how the forecast holds up

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Model report card — 11 Jun 2026 · onthepitch